Two weeks of betting college football are in the books and we are starting to learn various things about a lot of teams and conferences. These are also being reflected in opening numbers for Week 3.
How the college football odds start early is not a reflection of how they will end up, but it does at least provide indicators as to what early bettors are thinking, right or wrong. Basically is perceived value of a spread, where a certain part of population making college football picks see the opportunity if it is the right bettors with influence, sportsbooks have to make rapid adjustments. Here is what we are seeing right away.
Notable Line Moves
Baylor was buried by almost everyone after the scandal that cost Art Briles his job and a large number of players left school. But after two easy wins against inferior opponents and the Big 12 looking anything but special, maybe the Bears are not so bad off.
A+ rated Sportsbooks like JustBet opened Baylor at -27.5 and quicker than an NFL kicker yanking an extra point in Week 1, the Bears were up to -30 heading to instate partner Rice. It should be noted the Owls are doing their part to the spread changing being decidedly whipped by Western Kentucky and Army West Point (that's what they call themselves now).
Despite Utah State being ripped by USC 45-7, Utah State has been jettisoned from -6.5 to -9 against Arkansas State. The Red Wolves have won or shared four of the last five Sun Belt titles, but they have been torn up by Toledo and Auburn and have to make the tough trip to Logan.
Be sure to check SBR's list of the best rated online sportsbooks and find out the best places to place your bets for College Football Week 3.
Respect Comes in Different Ways From Oddsmakers
Western Michigan was a 6.5 point road underdog going into the game at Northwestern, but every wise guy and sharper bettor were backing the Broncos and they slid all the way to +3 at kickoff. Western Michigan dominated the ball and was the most physical team in upsetting Northwestern 22-21. After a couple weeks, the Broncos look very much like the best club in the MAC and they travel to another Big Ten house in the Land of Lincoln to face Illinois.
This time, however, it is Western Michigan that is the favorite, at -3.5 and hardly anyone can find anything wrong with the number, as the Broncos are fundamentally sound under coach P.J. Fleck, who understands this level of football, having played at Northern Illinois.
The new rankings are out and Mark Richt's Miami team is No.25 after good performances. But the sportsbooks understand if the Hurricanes think they will just waltz into Appalachian State without their game faces, they could be pushed like Tennessee was. The Mountaineers will not be intimidated and this will be the biggest game ever in Boone, N.C., which is why the 'Canes are just 4.5-point favorites.
Ohio State Draws a Ton of Support in Sooner Territory
Oklahoma's loss to Houston raised a number of concerns about Bob Stoops squad, while early on it appears Urban Meyer has just reloaded in spite of a rash of graduations and players leaving early for the draft at Ohio State. The football bettors confidence is with the Buckeyes even on the road, up from +1 to -3.
We expect this to level off as the week progresses, yet an interesting line moves to start the week for one of the biggest games.