Horned Frogs Aiming an 8-0 Record, Make TCU the College Football Pick

Mark Lathrop

Tuesday, October 27, 2015 6:41 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2015 6:41 PM GMT

The TCU Horned Frogs look to stay perfect on the season as they host West Virginia on Thursday night. By checking the college football odds we'll come up with the right side to bet.

The 3-3 West Virginia Mountaineers travel to meet 7-0 and #5 ranked TCU on Thursday night, as the Horned Frogs look to keep their college football playoff chances alive in Week 8. Early odds on this game have the Horned Frogs heavily favored at -14, while the posted O/U total is at 75 as of Tuesday morning in the college football odds board.

 

West Virginia is on the road in Texas for the second game in a row after getting a much needed bye week. The Mountaineers have lost all three of their conference games thus far both SU and ATS. In their last game against Baylor, West Virginia struggled mightily with the play of quarterback Seth Russell and wide receiver Corey Coleman. In that game, Russell posted an insane line of 20-33, 380 yards, 5 touchdowns passing and added 160 yards rushing and 1 touchdown on 14 attempts. Corey Coleman was the benefactor of a lot of those passing yards, putting up a 10 catch performance for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns. West Virginia was unable to stop the duo at all in the game.

 

I bring the Baylor game up because TCU has their own unstoppable force on offense this year, with the play of Heisman hopeful Trevone Boykin. Through seven weeks, Boykin has better overall offensive numbers than recent Heisman winners Jameis Winston, Johnny Manziel, Marcus Mariota, and Robert Griffin III, according to Trey Fallon of PurpleMenace.com. And the numbers that Boykin are putting up are simply incredible, as he has posted 2,539 yards passing and 25 passing touchdowns while adding another 440 yards rushing and 5 rushing touchdowns through 7 games. The offensive output of 425.5 yards per game exceeds the best of those previous Heisman winners’ output by over 40 yards per game.

 

So, how are the Mountaineers going to bottle up Boykin on the road against TCU? Put simply, they are not going to. If they have any chance at all in this game they will have to depend on forcing a bunch of turnovers or getting some excellent special teams play. Unfortunately for West Virginia, they have yet to have a positive turnover differential in any of their conference games this year. A bright note is their return team – Shelton Gibson returned a kickoff for 100 yards and a touchdown in the waning seconds of the game against Baylor. The Mountaineers will need more than one special teams or defensive touchdown and multiple turnovers in their favor to keep this game close.

 

West Virginia allowed a total of 693 yards to Baylor in Week 6. TCU has exceeded 600 offensive yards twice this season and 700 yards another two times. Obviously they’ve been undefeated in those games, yet are 2-2 ATS in those weeks. The last time TCU was favored by 14 at home was against Texas, and they won 50-7.

 

Another reason I like TCU in this spot is the fact that they dropped in the rankings during their bye week. That should take care of any complacency coming into this game against an opponent that is 0-3 in conference play. TCU came into this season ranked #2, hasn’t lost a game, and yet continue to drop in the polls. They’ll be looking for another statement win on Saturday, and the fan base is pissed about the drop in the polls as well. With Seth Russell of Baylor unfortunately out for the season, TCU can smell their opportunity to get back into the top 4 of the polls and a playoff berth. Boykin will have them ready to light up the scoreboard, which is why I’m laying the 14 points and backing TCU as one of this week’s college football picks.

College Football Pick: TCU -14 at Heritage

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