Hilltoppers Ready to Roll Over Panthers in Cure Bowl

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Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, December 6, 2017 3:53 PM GMT

Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2017 3:53 PM GMT

On Dec. 16, the Georgia State Panthers will take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Let’s take a look at the early college football odds on this one and get a jump on this Cure Bowl clash.

Free NCAAF Pick: Western Kentucky -5Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Georgia State (6-5 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) vs. Western Kentucky (6-6 SU, 3-8 ATS)
  • Western Kentucky is 4-0 ATS in their last four games in December.
  • Western Kentucky is 7-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over their last 10 games.
  • Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS after a bye week.
  • Georgia State is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Georgia State is 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
  • Georgia State is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Neither team ended its season covered in glory as Western Kentucky dropped four of its last five games, covering the college football odds in two of those contests, while Georgia State lost its last two games and scored just 10 points in each. The trick here is to figure out which team matches up better and will ultimately come away with a cover in our college football picks.

The Hilltoppers have a few things in their favor, and the first is that the team has had an extra week to prepare for this Cure Bowl battle with the Panthers. Western Kentucky has been out of action since Nov. 24 when they ended their regular season with a stinging 41-17 loss to Florida International. The Panthers last engaged on the gridiron on Dec. 2 when they were upset 24-10 on their home field by Idaho as 7 ½-point home favorites.

The Hilltoppers will have a huge advantage in the aerial attack as they rank 9th in the nation with 333.7 passing yards per game vs. the 270 yards per game of Georgia State. Not so coincidentally, Western Kentucky also averages more points per game with 26.2 against the Panthers’ 21.7 PPG. The defenses on both squads are about even, but the meager 10 points-per-game average over Georgia State’s last two games concerns me enough to give a big edge to their opponents in this game. In addition, WKU has thrived in December games, going 4-0 ATS in its past four, while Georgia State has flopped down the stretch with a 0-4 ATS record.

Let’s back the Hilltoppers in what should be a contest of two teams that score in much the same way. But Western Kentucky gets it done off the arm of Mike White, who has 24 TD strikes this season and 3,826 passing yards. Georgia State also relies on the air attack but QB Connor Manning has been less prolific and less efficient with 2,870 passing yards, 17 passing TDs and seven picks on the season. Lay the lumber and back the Hilltoppers.

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