Our college football handicapping professional details a couple of unique betting situations that involve teams playing with revenge. Go inside to read this intriguing article, displaying past results, and an upcoming qualifying game.
Profitable College Football Revenge Situations
I’m going to be taking a look at a couple of highly successful college football betting angles pertaining to revenge games. As opposed to the NFL, college football teams rarely face each more than once per season, and that’s especially the case during non-conference games. My college football 4D handicapping software is a vital tool when identifying these specific circumstances when they arise.
Non-Conference Home Underdog with Momentum
A team riding a wave of momentum, playing a regular season home game with revenge, and is installed as an underdog has been a moneymaking investment over the past 32 years.
Any regular season non-conference home underdog of 10.0 or less playing with revenge, possessing a winning record, and is coming off wins in each of their previous two games, resulted in those aforementioned home underdogs going an impressive 42-24 ATS (63.6%) since 1985. We can tighten this up even further. If those teams had a win percentage of greater than .750, and they were playing in games 1 through 11 of the season, it improved this betting angle to 18-5 (78.2%) ATS over that same period of time.
It’s very important to keep in mind, bowl games aren’t included in these parameters. Additionally, these exact conditions occurred once last season. Memphis was a 10.0-point home underdog against Ole Miss on 10/17/2015. The Tigers entered that contest with a perfect 5-0 record, and Memphis was a 24-3 loser at Ole Miss in 2014. Lo and behold, Memphis came away with a decisive 37-24 win during that most recent meeting.
Non-Conference Revenge in Season Openers
This money earning wagering method involves non-conference home underdogs playing with revenge in an opening game. More specifically, any non-conference home underdog of 8.0 or less, playing with revenge in their season opener, and they’ve won 6 or more of its last 22 games, versus an opponent which has won 14 or less of their preceding 22 contests, resulted in those home underdogs going 21-6 ATS (77.8%) since 1984.
These set of parameters came into play once last season. Temple was a 6.0-point home underdog in their opening game against Penn State on 9/5/2015. Temple went into that contest having gone 8-14 over their previous 22 games, and Penn State was 12-10 over their previous 22. The Owls were beaten at Penn State the season before by a score of 30-13. Temple responded with a convincing 27-10 victory.
At the time of this writing, there was one upcoming game that qualifies within these betting boundaries. Current college football betting odds at The Greek, shows Florida International as an 8.0-point home underdog against Indiana on Thursday 9/1. Both teams will enter this contest with identical 8-14 records over their last 22 games. On 9/12/2015, Indiana defeated Florida International 36-22.
Keep an eye on this line going forward before making Florida International one of your college football picks. Some sportsbooks currently have Indiana as an 9.0-point favorite.