High/Low Spreads & Totals for Week 7 College Football Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, October 10, 2014 2:36 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 10, 2014 2:36 PM UTC

Review Week 7's highest & lowest point spreads and totals on every NCAA football game you can bet on happening this Saturday. Last week we put up a  3-1 mark and now stand at 12-12 for the year.

Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall (-24.5)
In full disclosure, as of this writing the Illinois-Wisconsin Big Ten matchup has the highest spread with the Badgers at -26.5. However, in a fluke I previewed that game earlier this week when it was at 24.5. So I'm going with this Conference USA matchup between Middle Tennessee and Marshall as the highest spread. The Thundering Herd (5-0, 1-0 C-USA) probably benefitted more from unbeaten BYU's upset loss last week than any team. One non-Power 5 Conference team is guaranteed a spot in a major bowl game and Marshall is in good shape for that because it has a terrible schedule and will be a solid favorite in every game. Marshall has one of the nation's best quarterback in Rakeem Cato, who has completed 60.4 percent of his passes for 1,361 yards and 12 touchdowns. He also has rushed for 195 yards and four scores. Marshall's closest win thus far was by 15 points. The other four were all by at least 30. Again, though, the schedule. Middle Tennessee (4-2, 3-0) might be the best team left on Marshall's schedule. The Blue Raiders are atop the C-USA East Division. That said, the only two decent teams Middle Tennessee has played are Minnesota and Memphis and it lost both by double digits. Last year these two played a great game, with the Blue Raiders winning 51-49 in Murfreesboro. Logan Kilgore threw a 9-yard touchdown pass to Tavarres Jefferson as time expired.  Both those guys are gone, though.

NCAAF Free Pick: Take the points at sportsbooks like YouWager. Marshall will win, perhaps by three touchdowns, but that's just too high of a spread even though the Herd have covered eight straight at home on NCAA football odds.

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West Virginia vs. Texas Tech (total 74.5 at sportsbooks)
I have been bitten too often this season by going 'under' on these huge totals with my College Football picks. Have I learned my lesson? These are two pass-happy, up-tempo teams -- but then it seems just about everyone is nowadays outside of the Big Ten. The Mountaineers (3-2, 1-1 Big 12), come off a 33-14 win over Kansas last week and they rank No. 6 nationally in passing yards and 33rd in points (36.6 per game). WVU has won 88 of its past 98 games when scoring at least 30 points. It has had four straight games with at least 500 yards of offense. Texas Tech (2-3, 0-2) has been a disappointment. The Red Raiders are No. 11 in passing yards but they simply can't stop anyone. TTU hasn't allowed less than 26 points in a game (and that was to UTEP) and the past three opponents have all scored at least 45. The Red Raiders are 120th nationally in allowing 40 points a game.  Last season TTU won 37-27 at West Virginia.

NCAAF Free Pick: 'Over' 74.5 points on NCAA football odds. Barring weather issues, and it looks good in Lubbock, this should be a near lock. The 'over' at sportsbooks is 4-0 in WVU's past four on the road and in eight of TTU's past 10 Big 12 games.

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Rice vs. Army (pick'em)
Army (2-3) is the most predictable team in the nation except for perhaps rival Navy. The Black Knights don't even pretend that they are going to throw the ball. They rank dead last in passing at 82.2 yards per game but third in rushing at 338.2 ypg. Their starting QB, Angel Santiago, has attempted 23 passes all season with a high of eight. Army is pretty bad, however. Its two wins are over MAC schools Buffalo and Ball State. It lost to Yale! Rice (2-3) was good last year, beating Marshall in the Conference USA Championship Game. This year the Owls opened with three straight losses -- two against ranked teams Notre Dame and Texas A&M -- before bouncing back with double-digit wins over Southern Miss and Hawaii.  Rice has more talent and has been decent against the run. It's just a matter of how well prepared the Owls are for the option offense.

NCAAF Free Pick: Rice. The Owls have covered nine of their past 12 non-conference games at sportsbooks.

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Penn State vs. Michigan (total 40.5 at sportsbooks)
Will we see a total under 40 all season? Michigan (2-4, 0-2 Big Ten) is in total turmoil, having lost three straight games to not exactly a murderers' row of Utah, Minnesota and Rutgers. The boo-birds no doubt will be out in force at the Big House as the fans have had enough of Coach Brady Hoke and AD Dave Brandon. UM's defense has been pretty good, but the offense is terrible. It ranks 109th in passing and 104th in scoring. Devin Gardner will start at QB again, and he's a turnover machine. The Wolverines will play the rest of the season without leading rusher Derrick Green. He broke his clavicle in last week's loss at Rutgers. Green had rushed 82 times for 471 yards and three scores. That won't help the offense. Penn State (4-1, 1-1) was dominated at home in its last game, a 29-6 loss to Northwestern on Sept. 27. PSU is a good passing team behind Christian Hackenberg (although he has six interceptions) but can't run the ball a lick. The Lions rank 116th in rushing. They also are 99th in scoring but 10th in scoring defense. That latter stat is somewhat misleading as PSU hasn't played a very good offense yet.

NCAAF free pick: 'Over' 40.5 points on College Football odds. These two combined for 83 points in a four-overtime thriller last year. This game won't approach that, but 40.5 is too low. The 'over' is a combined 10-0 in these teams' past 10 October games.

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