High/Low Spreads & Totals for Week 6 College Football Picks

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, October 1, 2014 5:55 PM GMT

Welcome to Week 6 of High/Low, a look at the highest and lowest spreads and totals on every NCAA football game on Saturday.

Our Week 5 College Football picks pushed us up a 2-2 mark and now stand at 9-11 for the year. All NCAA odds courtesy of BetOnline.

 

SMU vs. East Carolina (-41)
It is just stunning how far that SMU has fallen. As recently as 2012 the Mustangs finished 7-6 and beat Fresno State in the Hawaii Bowl. It seemed like Coach June Jones had the program at least in solid shape. However, the wheels have totally come off this season. Jones resigned two games in and SMU might be historically bad if things don't improve soon. The Mustangs have scored a total of 12 points in four games, the fewest in the nation. Their lone touchdown was a Week 2 Hail Mary at the end of regulation to North Texas in a 43-6 loss. Last week they were outgained by nearly 400 yards in a 56-0 loss to TCU, the largest margin of victory in that Dallas area rivalry ever. SMU also ranks last in points allowed and has been outscored 202-12. Former Texas coach Mack Brown is off his rocker if he ponders taking this head coaching job. No. 22 East Carolina could be the best team outside the Power 5 conferences. The Pirates come off a 70-point, 789-yard  effort on Sept. 20 in a blowout of North Carolina (so on a bye in Week 5). They also beat Virginia Tech. Coach Ruffin McNeill is going to get some looks from major schools this offseason. This will be ECU's first game as a ranked team in six years.

NCAAF free pick: SMU will score a touchdown, but take the Pirates as they should reach 50 points.

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California vs. Washington State (total 78.5)
No surprise this has the highest total this week as the Bears and Cougars are nearly identical: They both throw it all night but can't stop anyone. Behind sophomore QB Jared Goff, the Bears rank No. 7 nationally in passing and No. 5 in scoring at 47.5 points per game. They have scored at least 45 points in the past three games but also gave up 49 to Arizona in a loss and 56 to Colorado in a double-overtime win. Washington State, behind senior QB Connor Halliday, leads the nation in passing (480.8 ypg) but is 90th in scoring defense (30.2). Halliday has had at least 61 pass attempts in each of the past three games. Wazzu doesn't even much try to run the ball under Coach Mike Leach. Both Leach and Cal coach Sonny Dykes learned up-tempo offense under former Kentucky coach Hal Mumme. Dykes also worked for Leach at Texas Tech from 2000-06. Last season in Berkeley, when the Bears were much worse than they are this season, Washington State won 44-22. You probably see at least 110 passes in this game.

NCAAF free pick: 'Under.' The coaches know each other's tendencies so the game might "only" be in the 60s. Plus the 'under' is 4-1 in Wazzu's past five Pac-12 games.

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Miami Fla. vs. Georgia Tech (+1.5)
The pressure on Miami coach Al Golden is going to increase if the Hurricanes lose this game in Atlanta. Miami can't afford another conference loss if it hopes to play in its first ACC title game because it already has fallen to Louisville and still has to play at Virginia Tech and against Florida State. The problem is that the Miami run defense hasn't been good this season (or last) and that's all Georgia Tech does with its triple option. The Jackets rank 11th nationally in rushing at 292.0 yards per game. They are unbeaten, but the only notable team Georgia Tech has faced is Virginia Tech. The Jackets won that 27-24 in Blacksburg two weeks ago and thus had a bye week to prepare for Miami. In each of Georgia Tech’s last two games, the Jackets have gone on game-winning drives thanks to takeaways. The Canes have lost both road games by double digits in 2014 and will be using a third-string right offensive tackle. Taylor Gadbois and Kc McDermott will not play Saturday because of injury. Both suffered left knee injuries in the win over Duke in Week 5. Georgia Tech has lost five straight to Miami, and Coach Paul Johnson has never beaten the Hurricanes and Hokies in the same season.

NCAAF free pick: The Jackets will run it down Miami's throat, and the Canes won't be able to stop it. Take the points for this College Football pick.

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Stanford vs. Notre Dame (total 44.5)
This game also was in the mix for lowest total as No. 14 Stanford is a 2-point favorite at the No. 9 Irish. With all due respect to Notre Dame's 4-0 mark, no one really knows if the team is good yet. The Irish's best win is over Michigan, and that doesn't count as a good victory these days. Notre Dame didn't play particularly well in wins over Purdue and Syracuse. The schedule really changes with this one. Next up: vs. North Carolina, at Florida State, at Navy, at Arizona State. Louisville and USC also are still to come. Notre Dame ranks 4th nationally in points and didn't allow Michigan to reach the red zone. Then again, neither did Utah allow UM to do so. Stanford leads the nation in scoring defense despite having allowed a season-high 13 points last week in a seven-point win at Washington. The Cardinal are allowing just 198.0 yards per game, the only team in the country less than 200.0. As usual, Stanford isn't a great offensive club. It remains old school, running the ball a majority of the time and using a bruising offensive line. In Stanford's two games against Pac-12 teams it has averaged only 15.0 points. Last year Stanford beat visiting Notre Dame 27-20. I expect something more like 2012 when the Cardinal lost 20-13 in overtime in South Bend.

NCAAF free pick: 'Under.' This has hit in the past four meetings. The 'under' is also 10-1 in Stanford's past 11 against teams with a winning record.

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