High/Low Spreads & Totals for Week 4 College Football Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, September 19, 2014 2:51 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 19, 2014 2:51 PM UTC

Join this College Football handicapper in his investigation of the highest and lowest spreads and totals for every Week 4 game. Last week he put up a 1-3 mark , and now stand at 6-6 for the year. 

Eastern Michigan vs. Michigan State
This line shocks me. True, Eastern Michigan is putrid, one of the five worst FBS programs around probably. However, Michigan State isn't one of those teams that puts up a ton of points and slaughters people. Coach Mike Dantonio already is on record saying he feels no need to run up the score in a game like this (which some could argue Oregon did with a late TD vs. Michigan State a few weeks ago) just to impress the College Football Playoff committee. I'm not sure Dantonio even knows how to run up the score. Sparty simply isn't in this position often. The question here basically is: Will EMU score? Since putting up 28 points against little Morgan State, Eastern was blown out 65-0 at Florida and then lost 17-3 at Old Dominion, which I wasn't even aware had a football team. Eastern averages all of 72 yards passing. MSU will run the ball down the Eagles' throats all day and try to stay healthy.

The Free College Football Pick: I'd probably take MSU at 40 or lower, but at 45.5 Eastern is the choice for this free pick.

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Oregon vs. Washington State (total 75)
According to my research, this is the highest total of the year thus far. No surprise. We all know how explosive the Ducks are as they showed in scoring four touchdowns in about 20 minutes against that terrific Michigan State defense. Washington State is not a good defensive team, allowing 41 points in its season opener at home to a Rutgers team that managed just 10 at home last week vs. Penn State. Plus the Cougars will throw the ball all night (Wazzu ranks No. 1 in passing yards), which probably means a few big plays for them but also potentially a few turnovers and defensive touchdowns for Oregon. The Ducks won 62-38 in Eugene last year with WSU QB Connor Halliday throwing an insane 89 times (FBS record), completing 58 for 557 yards, four touchdowns and four picks. I expect more of the same here. The Ducks have won the last seven meetings by an average score of 52.4 to 20.3.

The Free College Football Pick: Oregon gets to at least 56 and Wazzu to at least 21. Go 'over.' The 'over' has hit in five of the past six meetings.

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Maryland vs. Syracuse (pick'em)
The only pick'em on the board for Saturday. When this was scheduled a few years ago, who would have thought that Maryland would be in the Big Ten and Syracuse in the ACC? These teams met last year as ACC foes for the only season and the Orange beat the Terps 20-3 in College Park (Maryland was without top receivers Stefon Diggs and Deon Long). The Orange forced five fumbles in the game and picked off two passes. Syracuse didn't look great in its opener, a 27-26 double overtime win over Villanova, but it crushed a pretty decent Central Michigan team 40-3 last week. The Chippewas beat Purdue by 21, for what that's worth. Maryland enters off a last-second loss at home to West Virginia last week as the Terps were gashed for 694 yards. The game shouldn't have been that close, but WVU turned it over four times.

The Free College Football PickClubs look pretty even so lean the home side.

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Iowa vs. Pittsburgh (total 46.5)
There are a few other games at 47, but as of this writing Hawkeyes at Panthers has the lowest total of Saturday's matchups. Iowa and Pittsburgh are pretty old school in that they rely on the run first and physicality on offense. The Hawkeyes have managed 17 points in each of their past two games, a close win over Ball State and an inexplicable home loss to Iowa State. I say inexplicable because Iowa was supposed to be a Big Ten contender. How does Kirk Ferentz still have a job? Iowa is 102nd out of 128 FBS teams in scoring at 21.7 points per game and has completed just three passes over 20 yards. The Iowa defense has been good against the run, ranking No. 7 in the nation, but hasn't faced anyone like Pitt's bruising James Conner. The 6-foot-2, 250-pounder has rushed 81 times for a national-best 544 yards and eight scores. Pitt ranks No. 5 nationally in rushing but doesn't throw much, ranking 123rd at 101.3 ypg.

The Free College Football Pick: Bet 'under' at Pinnacle

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