High/Low Spreads & Totals for Week 12 College Football Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, November 14, 2014 5:57 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 14, 2014 5:57 PM GMT

Welcome to Week 12 of High/Low, a look at the highest and lowest spreads and totals on every NCAA football game on Saturday. Last week I put a 3-1 mark and now stand at 23-21 for the year. All NCAA football odds courtesy of BetOnline.

TCU vs. Kansas (+28.5 at sportsbooks)
This is the second time that Kansas has appeared in this category as the biggest dog of a college football Saturday and it worked out well on Nov. 1 as Baylor covered a 34.5-point spread with a 60-14 home win over the Jayhawks. Kansas is 3-6 and only one loss was by less than 13 points: Oct. 11 at home against Oklahoma State. KU actually showed signs of life last week, ending a five-game losing streak with a 34-14 win over Iowa State. This could be the ultimate definition of a trap game for TCU. The Frogs, No. 3 in the nation in scoring, enter on a four-game winning streak. The last two were huge ones, a comeback win at ranked West Virginia and then last week an impressive blowout of Kansas State. That gave TCU a shot at the Big 12 title as well as jumped the Frogs to No. 4 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings.  Last season in Fort Worth, TCU beat Kansas 27-17.

NCAAF free pick: Take the points -- that extra half-point could be crucial. How can the Frogs not take KU for granted to start the game? Plus the TCU might be looking ahead to its next game: at Texas on Thanksgiving.

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Army vs. Western Kentucky (total 71.5 on NCAA football odds)
OK, homework time in researching what Army and Western Kentucky have done on the gridiron this season. Not exactly a matchup I circled at the beginning of the season. These teams couldn't be more different offensively. The Black Knights, as usual, are all run and almost no pass. They rank sixth in rushing (298.3 ypg) and dead last with just 69.1 yards passing. That's amazing in this day and age. Last week in a win over UConn, Army threw the ball three times for 38 yards and rushed it 60 times for 327  yards. Thing is, Army isn't a great offensive team because it's so one-dimensional, averaging 24.8 points per game. The  Cadets allow 32.8. Western Kentucky is pretty much all pass and no rush. The Hilltoppers, behind QB Brandon Doughty, are No. 2 nationally in passing and No. 101 in rushing. They average 40.4 points but are under .500 because WKU gives up 41.6 per game.

NCAAF free pick: 'Under.' Army will chew up clock with its triple-option and keep WKU's offense off the field. This should stay in the 60s.

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LSU vs. Arkansas (-1 at sportsbooks)
Bit of a surprising line here considering Arkansas is winless in SEC play and has lost 17 straight conference games. Plus LSU played Alabama evenly last week in an overtime home loss. Perhaps the  oddsmakers believe that emotional, physical game took a ton out of the Tigers. However, following a 2012 close home loss to the Tide, LSU followed with a 37-17 win over ranked Mississippi State to end the regular season on a three-game winning streak. After last year's 38-17 loss in Alabama, LSU followed with a 34-10 win over ranked Texas A&M to end the season (including a bowl) on a three-game winning streak. That included a 31-27 home win over the Hogs. Arkansas could easily have three SEC wins this year, losing close games to Texas A&M, Alabama and Mississippi State. The Razorbacks also had last week off to prepare. This game might be the most run-heavy of any Power 5 Conference matchup this week.

Free College Football Pick: LSU. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their past six after a loss. They bounced back from two earlier losses this year with wins as well.

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Temple vs. Penn State (total 39 on NCAA football odds)
I believe this is only the second total in High/Low this season 'under' 40. Not really sure why Penn State is facing Temple this late in the season as it's very unusual for Big Ten teams to have a non-conference game this late in the year (unlike the SEC). PSU ended a four-game losing streak last week with an ugly 13-7 win at Indiana. The Nittany Lions can't run the ball (No. 125) and are averaging only 20.3 points per game. In fact, they have scored more than 20 once against a Power 5 foe: a 31-24 double-OT loss to Ohio State on Oct. 25. QB Christian Hackenberg is regressing as the season progresses. Temple looks to end a 30-game losing streak to Penn State. The last time Temple beat the Lions was Oct. 18, 1941. The USA had yet to officially enter World War II. The Owls have a very good defense, allowing only 18.1 ppg, but they haven't played a Power 5 team and allowed at least 30 to teams like Navy, Houston and UCF. When making your college football picks the question is whether a stagnant Temple offense can score on Penn State's No. 6 defense?

Free College Football Pick: 'Under' at 5DImes. The 'under' is 4-1 in Temple's past five non-conference games. The 'under' has hit in 12 of PSU's past 15 after scoring less than 20 points in the previous game.

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