High/Low Spreads & Totals for Week 11 College Football Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, November 7, 2014 10:45 PM GMT

Welcome to Week 11 of High/Low, a look at the highest and lowest spreads and totals on every NCAA football game on Saturday. Last week we put up another(!) 2-2 mark and now stand at 20-20 for the year. All NCAA football odds courtesy of BetOnline.

Texas A&M vs. Auburn (-21.5 at sportsbooks)
This is easily the lowest "high" spread all season so apparently a lot of somewhat evenly matched games in Week 11. It's amazing how far the Aggies have fallen. They were everyone's darling after an opening 52-28 win at then-No. 9 South Carolina. A&M's national title odds changed dramatically and quarterback Kenny Hill appeared on everyone's Heisman odds. However, the wheels have fallen off. Following a 5-0 start, the Aggies followed that with blowout losses to Mississippi State, Ole Miss and Alabama. That 59-0 defeat by the Tide was easily the worst A&M has played since Kevin Sumlin arrived in College Station. Kenny Hill struggled in those games and was going to be benched. Conveniently, he was suspended two games for violating team rules and athletic department polices. Thus highly touted freshman Kyle Allen started last week's ugly 21-16 win over Louisiana-Monroe. Allen wasn't very good against a mid-major weakling, completing 13 of 28 for 106  yards with a TD and pick. The Aggies had just 243 yards compared to 347 for ULM. A&M didn't score in the second half and Allen  had six yards passing. He starts again here. No. 3 Auburn simply needs to win out and it will repeat as SEC champion and lock up a spot in the College Football Playoff. Might the Tigers look ahead a bit to next week's tougher challenge at No. 20 Georgia?

NCAAF free pick: Auburn. The Aggies look lost and have failed to cover four straight SEC games. Auburn has covered the college football odds in 10 of its past 12 at home.

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Baylor vs. Oklahoma (73 total on NCAA football odds)
This is the third time that Baylor has been involved in the highest total and my recommendations are 1-1 on the Bears in that scenario. This was circled as the game of the year in the Big 12 back in the summer but it's not any longer. Oklahoma was the preseason conference betting favorite at sportsbooks but has disappointed with two losses, albeit by a combined five points. The Sooners have no shot to win the conference. Baylor is No. 12 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings and controls its destiny to win the Big 12 for a second straight year. If they win this game, the Bears are in great shape because the final three are at home. The finale is against Big 12 leader Kansas State. Baylor leads the nation in scoring and  has reached 60 points in two of the past three games and four times overall. The Sooners are No. 9 in scoring. Last year in Waco, Baylor beat OU 41-12. That was 23 points less than what the Bears were averaging on the season. The weather looks very nice, sunny and high 50s.

NCAAF free pick: All the sportsbook trends point to 'over,' but I lean 'under' for my college football picks. Total should stay in the 60s.

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Iowa vs. Minnesota (pick'em at sportsbooks)
Missed last week's lone pick'em in taking UNLV at home against New Mexico, with the Rebels falling 31-28 at home on Lobos touchdown with 1:22 left. The UNLV kicker missed a 55-yarder as time expired to send it into OT. This is a big game as both the Hawkeyes and Gophers control their destiny to win the Big Ten West Division. The schedule shakes out much better for Iowa as it visits Illinois next week and then hosts Wisconsin and Nebraska. Minnesota hosts Ohio State next week and then visits Nebraska and Wisconsin. The Hawkeyes enter off perhaps their most impressive effort of the season, a 48-7 rout of Northwestern last Saturday. It was season high in points scored and season low allowed. Minnesota has been off since being upset 28-24 at Illinois on Oct. 25. Last year these teams also played in Minneapolis and Iowa won 23-7.

NCAAF free pick: Minnesota. Iowa has more talent, but the Gophers are unbeaten at home and had that bye week. Minnesota has covered eight of its past 10 Big Ten games.

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Michigan vs. Northwestern (41 total on NCAA football odds)
if the Wolverines want to go to a bowl game this season, they pretty much have to win this one. UM is 4-5 under lame-duck coach Brady Hoke and after this hosts Maryland (could win) and then visits Ohio State (will lose). The Michigan offense has played well against weak teams, scoring 52 vs. Appalachian State, 34 vs. Miami Ohio and 34 last week in a 24-point win against Indiana. Those were all at the Big House. UM has totaled 35 points in three road games, losing all of them. It ranks 107th in scoring at 21.9 points per game. Northwestern is No. 117 in scoring (19.1 ppg) and has totaled just 31 points in losing three straight games. Last week in a 48-7  loss at Iowa, Northwestern had 180 total yards. Last year, Northwestern lost 27-19 in triple overtime at home to Michigan. It was 9-9 at the end of regulation. The forecast is low 40s with 30 percent chance of rain.

NCAAF free pick: 'Under.' It is 6-1 in Michigan's past seven in November at sportsbooks and 12-3 in Northwestern's past 15 overall.

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