The Air Force Falcons have failed to deliver as road favorites in recent years, which makes the Army Black Knights the attractive College Football pick for Saturday at West Point.
Air Force has already picked up victories over the likes of Navy and New Mexico, which is important to consider when making your Week 10 College Football picks, as both of those foes run a similar triple-option attack that it will face against Army.
The Falcons were out-gained on the ground in both of those affairs, but they’ve been a bit more balanced offensively than in recent years with Kale Pearson under center—averaging 273.4 rushing and 152.3 passing yards per game.
Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 10 points, with the 'under' going 2-1-1 in that situation.
A Huge Game
Army is 2-5 SUATS in its first year under head coach Jeff Monken, as it looks to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 39-17 defeat to Kent State as three-point road favorites on Oct. 18.
The Black Knights are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series, which can’t be ignored when looking over the College Football odds, but they’ve managed to gain 366 or more yards offensively in the last three installments.
Since the start of the 2012 season, the team is 3-5 SU and 5-3 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, with the 'under' going 4-3-1 in those eight opportunities.
Life On the Road
The Falcons will likely stay above the key number of three as betting favorites in this service academy matchup, but they’ve failed to cover the spread in all three games away from Colorado Springs in 2014.
Air Force shouldn’t be bothered by playing at 11:30 a.m. ET on the East Coast, but it has gone 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a bye week.
Competitive On the Ground
Monken’s option attack was crafted during his time under current Georgia Tech head coach Paul Johnson, who of course had great success in service academy contests during his time at Navy.
Army has won the ground battle in six of its seven games, with its only loss coming by a single yard against Pac-12 Conference powerhouse Stanford in the second game of the season.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Black Knights as one of their college football predictions, as they’ve gone 3-0 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 7 points, while the Falcons are 0-2 ATS as road favorites at the same price since 2012.
Free College Football Pick: Army Black Knights +3.5 at 5Dimes