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Georgia State vs. Arkansas State: NCAAF Week 7 Betting Picks and Predictions

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Georgia State vs. Arkansas State: NCAAF Week 7 Betting Picks and Predictions
Defensive lineman Forrest Merrill #92 of the Arkansas State Red Wolves and wide receiver Jonathan Adams Jr. #9. Peter Aiken/Getty Images/AFP

Georgia State Panthers descend on the Arkansas State Red Wolves for a Thursday clash that’s cornered with the hosts. Can the Panthers defy the NCAAF odds or will the Red Wolves come through as the home chalk?

Georgia State (1-1-0) vs. Arkansas State (2-2-0)

Thursday, October 15, 2020, 7:30 PM ET at Centennial Bank Stadium

NCAAF Betting Lines and Odds

Books went to press with the Arkansas State Red Wolves tipped as the 5-point home chalk for their date against Sun Belt rivals, Georgia State Panthers. However, since markets opened, the NCAAF line has moved down to -4.5 at BookMaker. The total, meanwhile, opened at 72.5 with multiple top-rated sportsbooks, including Betonline (Visit our BetOnline Review) and so far (at the time of writing on Sunday), it hasn’t budged.

Both teams are tied for eighth place in the Sun Belt Conference with a losing 0-1 record; although each team has faced contrasting scheduling situations: Arkansas State (2-2-0) has played four games to Georgia State’s two games (1-1-0).

Bearing in mind the busier schedule, it’s not surprising that the Red Wolves would enter this game with the slight advantage, underscoring the more consistent playing time as well as home advantage.

That said, the Red Wolves are facing a quick turnaround after playing last Saturday, compared to Georgia State Panthers, who didn’t play this weekend. Whether the contrasting scheduling situation for either team proves an advantage or disadvantage remains to be seen.

Arkansas State Red Wolves: 8th Place, Sun Belt (2-2-0, 0-1 Conf.)

After the game against Tulsa was postponed on September 26, the Arkansas State Red Wolves played back-to-back games, one of which featured a conference rival at the start of the month.

The Red Wolves were crushed 52-23 by Sun Belt rivals, Coastal Panthers, in both team’s Sun Belt Conference opener nearly a fortnight ago (10/03/20). The Red Wolves entered the game as the faves, closing at -3.5 in point spread betting markets on the NCAAF odds board, but alas, they ultimately failed to come through for their backers.

The ensuing weekend saw the Red Wolves bounce back with a convincing 50-27 win over Central Arkansas, all the while covering as the hefty 15.5-point home faves on a rain-sodden, windy afternoon at Centennial Bank Stadium.

Saturday’s contest got off to a slow, sloppy start as the first quarter ended on a rather lackluster 3-2 score. However, it quickly picked up pace in the second quarter and from then onwards as the Red Wolves totted up the scoreboard in a flurry of points late in the first half and early in the second half.

Head coach Blake Anderson had a productive showing from both QBs: Logan Bonner threw for 239 yards and 3 TDs while Layne Hatcher contributed 153 yards and 3 TDs. WR Jonathan Adams Jr. emerged as the top target, hauling in 6 catches for 101 yards and 2 TDs.

On the flip side, the defense played well, holding the Central Arkansas Bears to 27 points and forcing three turnovers. The secondary had two interceptions, one of which was returned by Sammy Johnson for touchdown.

On the back of Saturday’s win, the Red Wolves improved to 3-1-0 ATS. The total has gone OVER in three of Arkansas State’s last four games.

Georgia State Panthers: 8th Place, Sun Belt  (1-1-0, 0-1 Conf.)

The Panthers opened their campaign against conference rivals LA-Lafayette at home on September 19th, but their much-anticipated opener came up short in a narrow 34-31 defeat. That said, the Panthers did pull off the cover as the 17-point closing underdogs in college football betting markets, underscoring the fact that they punched above their weight class successfully against a ranked opponent.

Most recently, Georgia State Panthers are coming off a 46-29 win over East Carolina Pirates, which marked the second game of the revamped 2020 NCAAF season for GSU. However, that encounter is now almost two weeks old.

Freshman QB Cornelious Brown was a hit and miss in the passing game for the Panthers as he connected on 18 of his 28 pass attempts for 238 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 interceptions. RB Destin Coates was solid on the ground as he compiled 113 yards and 2 TDs on 23 carries.

It’s fair to say, we haven’t seen a whole lot of the Panthers with just two games played to date – the game against Charlotte (09/26/20) was postponed and they’ve been sat on their laurels over the last two weeks.

NCAAF Betting Trends

  • Georgia State is 7-4-1 ATS in the last 12 games as an underdog.
  • Georgia State is 2-4 SU in the last six games on the road
  • Arkansas State is 3-4-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
  • Arkansas State is 5-2 SU at home this season
  • The over is 3-1-0 for Arkansas State this season.

NCAAF Betting Verdict:

Although it’s a short week for Arkansas State, it’s only the second home game for the Red Wolves this season. Three of their first four games were on the road, which is a tough schedule under the current circumstances. They’re flush off a home win in the last game, in which the offense was clicking at all cylinders behind both QBs.

If the Red Wolves can bring the same intensity to this pivotal Sun Belt Conference contest, they should be able to come through for their backers on NCAAF picks with the win, if not the cover as well.

Free NCAAF Picks: Arkansas State Red Wolves -4.5 (-110) with BookMaker (Visit our BookMaker Review)

Red Wolves -4.5-110
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