Friday's Top Value Against the Spread College Football Picks

Steven Suarez

Friday, October 2, 2015 5:29 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 2, 2015 5:29 PM UTC

There are two games we're targeting tonight. We've broken down the college football odds and have two selections that we're ready to take to the books.

South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers
The Tigers are off to a great start, having won all four of their games so far this season, and tonight they'll be solid favorites on the College Football Odds board. At time of writing, Memphis was favored by 8.5 points at most of the top sportsbooks, which some sites offering up a number as high as 9.

We should see a relatively high scoring game here, with most expecting the Tigers to account for a good chunk of that offensive production. The total is currently trading at 62 points.

Memphis has had one of the most effective offenses in the entire nation so far in 2015. They're scoring 53.0 points per game, the third-best mark in the country, with Paxton Lynch and a loaded running attack doing most of the damage. Lynch has still yet to thrown an interception and has accounted for 1,230 passing yards through four games. Meanwhile, Memphis is getting contributions from all over the backfield, with the team putting up 911 rushing yards and a staggering 15 scores through the ground.

And what about South Florida? The Bulls haven't had nearly as much success, as they've lost two of their first three games. They opened the year with a dominant 51-3 win over Florida A&M, but have since dropped consecutive games to Florida State and Maryland. USF has scored a total of just 31 points in those two defeats.

All in all, we just don't see how South Florida will be keeping pace with a high-flying Memphis offense tonight. Lynch and company have been moving the ball up and down the field with ease, and should be able to do so again despite being on the road. Don't be afraid of the chalk; consider backing the Tigers to cover in this spot.

ATS College Football Pick: Memphis Tigers -8.5 at 5Dimes

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BYU Cougars vs. Connecticut Huskies
After losing two straight, the Cougars will be eager to get back on the winning side when they play host to Connecticut tonight. 

We see quite a varying range when we look over the odds for this game, with some sportsbooks offering up 14 and others going all the way up to 17. Needless to say, you're going to want to keep checking back with in order to get the best value you possibly can before kickoff. 

BYU has already dealt with quite a bit of heartbreak this season, as they lost their star quarterback Taysom Hill for the season due to injury. The Cougars enter tonight having lost two straight, falling to UCLA by just a point on the road before getting shut out by Michigan (31-0) away from home. It was certainly a forgettable performance from the Cougars last week, but now they return home, where they've already beaten a ranked opponent (Boise State) this season. Tanner Mangum has looked decent since taking over the starting QB role, with Mitchell Jurgens and Mitch Mathews acting as the preferred targets. Adam Hine has run well, averaging 5.8 yards per carry on the season.

As for the Huskies, they've also dropped two straight. They've suffered setbacks against Missouri and Navy over the last couple of weeks, but they were at least competitive in both. They've been relying heavily on their defense to keep them afloat this season, and will be hoping they can stifle BYU's offense here this evening.

We don't see it happening though. The Cougars are a different team at home and we're expecting a bounce-back performance across the board. With your College Football Picks, consider adding BYU.

ATS College Football Pick: BYU Cougars -14 at Bovada

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