Friday's Top College Football Picks for O/U Bettors

Steven Suarez

Friday, September 18, 2015 5:56 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 18, 2015 5:56 PM UTC

How can we best exploit the college football odds and find some value with our total plays? It's time to dive into the schedule and make some money.

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. New Mexico Lobos
We picked the Sun Devils to blow out the Lobos and cover the humungous spread, but there could also be a weak spot on the College Football Odds board when it comes to the total. As of now, we see the O/U at 64.5 points, with some sportsbooks offering up 65. 

So far, Arizona State hasn't really been clicking on all cylinders, as they lost to Texas A&M and then had a little trouble overcoming Cal Poly this past weekend. The Sun Devils only scored 17 points in the loss against the Aggies, but then found more of a stride in a 35-21 victory over the Mustangs. 

Through the team's first two contests, QB Mike Bercovici has thrown for 482 yards with four touchdowns and one interception. Demario Richard has taken over the lead back role and has run 41 times for 194 yards and two scores, while do-it-all receiver D.J. Foster, who was transformed from a running back over the summer, leads the team in receiving while also getting some work out of the backfield. All in all, this is one of the most talented offenses in the country, and we fully expect them to find more success as the season wears on.

Thing is, we're not so sure New Mexico will have what it takes to keep up offensively, which is scaring us into taking the UNDER. We know Arizona State will get theirs at home, and they could very well score 45 to 50 points themselves, but we anticipate the Lobos having a lot of trouble moving the ball. They've been overly reliant on their run game and we think it's just not going to work out on the road this evening.

As a result, we're going to roll with the UNDER as our first total play of the game, in expectation that Arizona State will shut things down defensively.

O/U College Football Pick: UNDER 65

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Boise State Broncos vs. Idaho State Bengals
Tonight the Broncos are primed for a blowout win at home against the Bengals, as they're favored by 35 points at 5Dimes. The game's total is also at a high number, currently trading at 67 points, just a little bit higher than the first matchup we broke down.

Like Arizona State against New Mexico, the home team will likely have little trouble dispatching a vastly inferior opponent. The Bengals opened with a 55-0 shutout win, but that was against little-known Black Hills State. The following week, Idaho State lost 34-14 to Portland State on the road, which is more in line with what we can expect when the competition gets tough.

Tonight the Broncos are going to be eager to get back out on the field after a tough loss to BYU last week. QB Ryan Finley has endured a torrid start to his season, throwing four picks with only one touchdown, but he figures to have more success this evening alongside Jeremy McNichols and top wideout Shane Williams-Rhodes. McNichols has been the team's most dangerous offensive weapon thus far, accounting for five total touchdowns, and he should have another field day, this time against the Bengals.

But, will Idaho State be able to do enough to help this game go over the posted total? We think so. The Broncos will be putting up plenty of points and should account for most of that offensive production, but we feel as if the Bengals will be able to score at least a couple touchdowns themselves against a Boise State defense that's been inconsistent to start the season. Thus, we'll take the OVER to round out our selections.

O/U College Football Pick: OVER 67

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