Friday Night Lights: Arizona & Colorado Have History of High-Scoring Games

Wednesday, October 31, 2018 8:49 AM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 31, 2018 8:49 AM UTC

Even though he is coming off of a split last week, our NCAAF handicapper, Mark Lathrop, is still running at 60% on the season. Here he previews the Friday night NCAAF action that will be covered on national television.

<p style="text-align:right"><em><strong>2018 NCAAF Record: 23-15, +12.25u</strong></em><br /><em><strong>*Note: Record includes official Twitter selections (@mlathrop3)</strong></em></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Colorado Buffaloes (5-3 SU) @ Arizona Wildcats (4-5 SU)</strong></a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Friday, 10:30PM EST (Fox Sports 1)</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NCAAF Pick: Over 57.5</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Sportsbook!">5Dimes</a></strong></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448666, "sportsbooksIds":[19,238,93,92,180], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>I had a pretty good week last week, except for my coverage of the Arizona game against Oregon. The Wildcats’ starting QB, Khalil Tate, was questionable and his backup wasn’t up to snuff. The thesis was that Oregon’s projected 1<sup>st</sup> round draft pick, quarterback Justin Herbert, would more than compensate for a rowdy homecoming crowd on the road. I was wrong. The Arizona defense showed up in a huge way last week in holding Oregon to just 15 points, well below their 39-point per game average coming into the game. It was… odd.</p><p>Our task here is to try to ascertain if this type of defensive performance can be replicated two weeks in a row. The Wildcats certainly don’t have a track record against Colorado that makes us believe that can happen, as they gave up 42 points against them in 2017 and 49 in 2016. The rushing attacks in both of those contests, by both teams, were off the charts. Can J.J. Taylor repeat his 212-yard performance against Oregon for the Wildcats? I’m thinking so, and am leaning heavily on the Over of 57.5 in this game as a Friday night <a href="" target="_blank" title="More NCAAF Picks">NCAAF pick</a>.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;When &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@PresidentMcPhee&lt;/a&gt; cancels Friday afternoon classes!!! &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#beatwku&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#packfloyd&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#noexcuses&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Middle Tennessee State 🏈 🎥 (@MT_FBVideo) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;30 de outubro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p><strong><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Pittsburgh Panthers (4-4 SU) @ Virginia Cavaliers (6-2 SU)</a>, 7:30PM EST, ESPN: </strong>Interesting strength-on-strength game here with Pittsburgh’s rushing attack going up against a Virginia team that only allow 113 yards on the ground per game. Something definitely has to give here and I’m skeptical of Pittsburgh’s road defense holding serve. With a low total set at 48.5 I have my sights set on an easy Over cover here as well.</p><p><strong><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-7 SU) @ Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (5-3 SU)</a>, 8:00PM EST, CBS Sports Network: </strong>At first glance, this looks like a typical “why is SBR making me cover this oh it’s on TV” type of game. However, it turns out that Western Kentucky has beaten the Blue Raiders the last two years in a row. This in turn is a revenge spot for the Blue Raiders, on national television no less, against a division rival that is awful. This situation looks ripe for a blowout win in which the home team doesn’t let off the gas. I’ll be taking the Blue Raiders -13.5 eagerly as one of my Friday NCAAF picks.</p>
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