Free NCAAF Picks - Clemson Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Clemson vs. Alabama game

Tuesday, January 3, 2017 8:56 PM GMT

College football handicapping professional Ross Benjamin has enjoyed a terrific season at SBR and now he has an early betting preview on the Clemson and Alabama national title game. Don’t make a bet on this contest without first reading this article.

Clemson Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide

At the time of this writing (1/3), a consensus of college football betting odds indicates that Alabama is a 6.5-point favorite, and there’s a total of 51.0. Public betting trends indicate that 58% of point spread bets have been made on Clemson at this early juncture. Furthermore, despite 63.6% of total wagers going on the under, the opening number has moved from 50.5 to 51.0. This clearly signifies to me that larger sized bets have been made on going on over the total thus far.

 

National Championship Rematch

For the second year in a row, Alabama and Clemson will play in the national championship game. Alabama won the crown a season ago with a 45-40 win over Clemson. That game saw both teams combine to amass 1033 yards of total offense. Clemson scored a touchdown with less than a minute to play in that game and enabled them to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. The contest skyrocketed over the posted total of 50.5.

 

Deshaun Watson and Underrated Clemson Defense

Just to refresh everyone’s memory, Clemson may have lost to Alabama in last year’s national championship game, but it was no fault of then sophomore quarterback Deshaun Watson. During that contest, Watson threw for a massive 405 yards, tossed 4 passes for touchdowns, and rushed for an additional 73 yards. Watson was brilliant in Clemson’s semifinals win over Ohio State on New Year’s Eve. He accounted for 316 total yards and 4 touchdowns in that contest.

Clemson gets a lot of acclaim for their high-powered offense, and rightfully so. However, their defensive prowess seems to fly under the radar. The Tigers stop unit is allowing just 17.1 points and 306.9 yards per game. They stifled Ohio State’s offense in their semifinal win by not only shutting them out but also held the Buckeyes to a mere 215 total yards.

 

Superb Crimson Tide Defense and Special Teams

The Alabama defense has been dominant this season, and it’s been a major reason why they’re a perfect 14-0 up until this point. They’re allowing a paltry 11.4 points and 244.4 yards per game. Alabama has allowed 17 points or less in each of its previous 8 games.

It’s mind boggling to think that Alabama has scored an incredible 11 defensive touchdowns this season. Additionally, the Crimson Tide special teams have scored 4 touchdowns of their own. That’s an unheard of 15 non-offensive touchdowns scored through the course of a single season. A rare statistic such as this certainly can’t be ignored when evaluating your college football picks.

 

College Football Betting Angle

Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0, facing an opponent which allows 14.0 points or less per game for the season, and they allowed 17 points or less in each of their last 5 games, resulted in those underdogs going 43-15 (74.1%) against the spread since 1992. The average line in those 58 contests was 7.0, and the underdog won 25 of those games straight up.

 

Free NCAAF Pick: Clemson +6.5

Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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