Free Expert NCAA Football Predictions Against The Spread - UNLV vs Hawaii

Hawaii Warriors Quaterback

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, October 13, 2016 7:25 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 13, 2016 7:25 PM UTC

Every week our betting expert Joe Gavazzi selects a team that will crush that weekend. This is an integral part of his college football picks, and while Joe is killing it on his predictions, he wants to make this segment even more effective.

 UNLV vs Hawaii (-9) Midnight ET

UNLV entered this season with a 2-year record of 5-20 SU, 9-14 ATS.  Last year, under then 1st year HC Sanchez (a local HS coaching legend), the Rebs went 3-9 SU, 4-7 ATS, allowing 200+ yards both rushing and passing for the 3rd consecutive season. Today, they enter this contest at 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS. The victories, however, have come only against FCS Jackson St. and lowly, Fresno St., who has fallen off the map in recent seasons. Pointspread fortunes under Sanchez have been less than kind. In fact, the Rebs enter today on a 1-5 ATS slide as a traveler. Much of the hope for this year’s team lies with former Nebraska QB Johnny Stanton joining the backfield. He came to UNLV after a star-studded JUCO season in 2015, in which he threw for nearly 3,500 yards and 27 TDs. 

Stanton, however, has recently injured his knee and is expected to be out 3 to 4 weeks. In his place, the Rebs are forced to start a red-shirt freshman QB in a road game at Hawaii no less! To make matters worse, UNLV recently lost 2 of their best WRs (Presley (foot) and Woods (knee), each out for the season). Along with the earlier loss of WR Keys (knee) also out for the year, it leaves UNLV with only a trio of scholarship WRs, including 2 freshmen. Now, you know the reason why UNLV passed for only 129 yards against the porous Fresno St. pass defense and why last week against San Diego St., they completed just 2 passes for a total of 9 yards. Now, I’m not comparing the Hawaii pass defense to that of the Aztecs, but UNLV has clearly been negatively impacted by their lack of passing ability.  

While the Rebs appear to be spiraling downhill again, Hawaii is making an incredible comeback. First year HC Rolovich (a former QB at Hawaii and OC at Nevada) has lifted the Warriors from the nadir of their discontent to a contender for a .500 season. Previous 4 years under Norm Chow, Hawaii was 11-39 SU. Last year, they were outscored 36-18 and outgained 449-316. With that as a backdrop, Hawaii scheduled the high-powered passing game of California for their opening contest in Australia. The week after that, they traveled to Michigan. Though they were fortunate to have a week off the following, yet another road trip to the mainland saw them visit Arizona. Final count:  A 0-3 SU start in which they were outscored 161 points to 62 and allowed all 3 opponents at least 500 yards. The Rainbows dropped from the radar of every CFB handicapper. Following an OPEN date to Arizona and the influence of Rolovich, the team entered MWC play steeled by Power 5 competition and with the mindset it was a 2nd season. They opened two weeks ago with a (38-17) win vs. Nevada and followed it up with a 34-17 ATS win at San Jose. Clearly, Hawaii has turned the corner.

Is it a stretch to back the Rainbow Warriors as favorite after being an underdog in their first 5 contests?  Maybe so! But with UNLV limping in with a passing game that seems barely able to function, it appears the stage is ripe for Hawaii to CRUSH UNLV. I invite you to put the College Football ODDS in your favor and join me in my College Football PICK on Hawaii in this Midnighter!

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.

 Free College Football Picks: Hawaii -8.5Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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