Free College Football Picks Week 4 - Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Baylor Bears ​

Oklahoma State Cowboys team running into the field

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 20, 2016 10:53 PM GMT

Our college football betting expert provides us with a betting preview on Saturday’s game between Oklahoma State and Baylor. Go inside to read this insightful article culminated with a college football prediction.

Big 12 Shootout Expected in Waco
#16 Baylor (3-0) hosts Oklahoma State (2-1) on Saturday night in what will be the Big 12 opener for both teams. The opening kickoff from McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas is slated for 7:30 PM ET. The game is set to be televised by Fox. Baylor has won each of the previous 2 games played against Oklahoma State, and that includes last year’s 45-35 win at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma.

 

College Football Week 4 Odds Report: Oklahoma State vs. Baylor
At the time of this writing, college football betting odds at Wagerweb shows Baylor as an 8.5-point favorite, and there’s a total of 74.5. It’s worth noting since 2010, the games played between these Big 12 rivals have combined to average 77.3 points scored per contest. Furthermore, Baylor opened as a 10-point favorite on Sunday night and has since moved to 8. Despite winning its first 3 games, Baylor has failed to cover on each of those occasions, and early bettors have clearly been influenced as a result.

 

Recent Team Trends
You may be surprised to know, Baylor has gone a terrible 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite, and actually lost 4 of those contests straight up. In fact, 2 of those outright losses occurred at McLain Stadium. Conversely, Oklahoma State is 3-0 ATS during their preceding games as an away underdog and won outright on two of those occasions.

 

College Football Betting System
Oklahoma State was a 45-38 winner last Saturday as a 3.0-point home favorite against a very good Pitt Panther team. I already alluded to the Cowboys 10-point home loss to Baylor a season ago. Speaking of Baylor, the Bears won at Rice 38-10 in their previous appearance. The combination of this data qualifies for a rock solid college football week 4 prediction system.

Any college football away underdog (Oklahoma State) of 13.5 or less, playing with revenge, and is coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent (Baylor) off a win, resulted in those away underdogs going 21-6 ATS (77.8%) since 2001.

 

Final Take and Pick
I firmly believe Baylor is ripe for the taking on Saturday. They’ve been somewhat underwhelming thus far against vastly inferior opposition. I’m impressed how Oklahoma State bounced back last Saturday following a shocking upset loss to Central Michigan the week before. They can certainly catapult themselves back into a Top 25 ranking with a road win over a nationally ranked opponent. Whether that transpires or not, I like Oklahoma State to at least keep this one close throughout, and as a result, will take the points for one of my college football selections like in 5Dimes, now offering an incredible welcome bonus.

 

Free NCAAF Pick: Oklahoma State +8 -110
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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