Free College Football Picks: Sharp Week 7 Early Betting Lines

Doug Upstone

Monday, October 12, 2015 3:53 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 12, 2015 3:53 PM UTC

This is Week 7, almost the midpoint of the college football season & sportbooks betting odds are as sharp as they have been all season. How is your season stacking up & should adjustments be made?

If you are one of the lucky, the money is flowing you way as a football handicapper and you have been in a good groove for college football picks. However, statistically speaking, many of you have to find new answers to turn things around, but you are not alone, as oddsmakers college football odds have not gone as planned either, which we will talk.

Here is a look at six college games which caught our eye for various reasons and we explain why. Also, if you like Nebraska as a Pick versus Minnesota, according to WagerWeb play the first half line because all four of the Cornhuskers losses this season have come in the waning seconds and you would not want to be part of that.

Must Read: Week 6 NCAAF Betting Recap & Analysis

Boise State -9.5 Point Road Favorite vs. Utah State
By now, Utah State is used to quarterback Chuckie Keeton hurting his knee, since its happened for a third straight season. While they are technically still in contention for the MWC Mountain Division, tied with Air Force and Boise State at 2-0, history suggests this line, while accurate in assessment, will not be correct. Why, the Broncos have won an even dozen versus the Aggies and is 9-1-2 ATS, with both pushes coming when they were favored by more than 30 points. While Utah State has been an improved team in recent years, in last 10 meetings with Boise State, they have lost by an average of 31.2 point a game. Ugly!

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Baylor -20.5 Point Home Favorite Against West Virginia
You cannot always base spreads on absolutes when looking at other numbers, but this figure from the oddsmakers tells you something about three teams. Baylor's offense is the best in the country at 64.2 PPG and my guess most people making sports picks could not even tell you the quarterback's name (Seth Russell). However, consider, two weeks ago West Virginia as a six -point underdog at Oklahoma and while they have shown to be overrated because they commit so many turnovers, if you took the Sooners home price and the Bears today, that would suggest Baylor is a 14.5-point favorite over Oklahoma possibly today. Nobody would have thought that 10 days ago.

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Pittsburgh +3 Point Road Underdogs vs. Georgia Tech
When Pittsburgh lost All-ACC running back James Conner, even some ardent Pitt fans had to wonder if it was going to be another middling campaign for the Panthers. But first year coach Pat Narduzzi has brought a toughness and discipline to the Pittsburgh program and they are 4-1 and 3-2 ATS. With Georgia Tech losers of four in a row SU and ATS and being thoroughly destroyed in the trenches, Pitt is only a three-point road underdog and deservedly will attract attention this week.

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Notre Dame -4 Point Home Favorite Against USC
Honestly can still say not sure how good the Fighting Irish really are, especially on defense. Nonetheless, found this opening line perplexing. Based on talent and the game in South Bend, probably the right number, but USC is off bad home losses to Stanford and Washington, seemingly poorly coached and lacking toughness. Then Sunday we find out their coach Steve Sarkisian is placed on indefinite leave and a season which had such promise, is swirling down the porcelain bowl. Do the Trojans rally behind interim head coach, you decide.

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Michigan -6.5 Point Home Favorite Against Michigan State
Here is the first of two significant flips. Back in late June, the Golden Nugget released odds on 166 college football games and one of them was the battle for Michigan. The Spartans were listed as 4.5-point road favorites, but not anymore! Michigan State might be 6-0, but they are fooling nobody at 0-6 ATS and are now 6.5-point underdogs. That is quite a dramatic switch over six weeks, but well deserved with Sparty playing like a borderline Top 20 team and Michigan starting a discussion on who might be the best team in the Big 10. Oddsmakers nailed this one.

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Oregon +1.5 Point Road Underdogs vs. Washington
Are you ready for this, there are bettors in Las Vegas walking around with tickets either having Oregon -15 or Washington +15 right now. That is what the original release was. However, reality brings clarity and were are looking at a Ducks team who lost by 42 to Utah and Washington freaking State in Eugene! With the Huskies at 3-2 and 4-1 ATS, they appear more stable and well-coached and are giving up 23 PPG fewer than their opponent this week. And if that is not enough, what about Washington having lost 11 in a row to the Ducks (0-10-1 ATS), by an average of 26.7 PPG.

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