Free College Football Picks: Go Blue with your Bets & Play Michigan Over UNLV

David Lawrence

Wednesday, September 16, 2015 3:01 PM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 16, 2015 3:01 PM GMT

There’s a cloud over the betting situation, as you’ll soon see below. What should you be prepared to expect in this game? And how should you be placing your college football picks.

The UNLV Rebels are coached by a man, Tony Sanchez, who was coaching in the high school ranks last year. The program took a huge gamble by betting on a man who hadn’t previously been a head coach or even a coordinator at the college level. The Michigan Wolverines are coached by Jim Harbaugh, one of the very best coaches of football at any level in the country.

 

Momentum
The Runnin’ Rebels aren’t doing very much running, at least not in a productive way. The Rebels almost beat Northern Illinois in their season opener and had a right to think that they were moving forward. However, they then got crushed by UCLA, 37-3, last week. UNLV just doesn’t have very many offensive weapons, and while some opponents have defenses which can be exploited, this might not be the case with their opponent here.

Michigan’s offense has a lot of work to do, but its defense is on point. The Wolverines allowed only seven points last week to Oregon State after a solid showing the previous week at Utah. This defense has been good not just this season, but in previous seasons under previous coaches. With UNLV struggling against the athletes of UCLA, it’s hard to see the Rebels making more progress on offense against Michigan. Even if UNLV gets its starting quarterback available for this game (see more below), it’s going to be a very difficult afternoon against the defense Harbaugh has inherited in his first season on the job in Ann Arbor.

Must Read: Numbers that Stand Out in Week 3 Betting Markets

Line Moves
No line has been given for this game as of yet, for reasons you will read about below. Keep checking with SBR's College Football Odds board as lines will be posted once their released.

 

Notable Injuries
UNLV fullback Marc Philippi is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Defensive lineman Jeremiah Valoaga is questionable with a foot injury. Linebacker Kyle Anderson is questionable with an ankle injury.

However, all of those injuries pale in comparison to the one being endured by starting quarterback Blake Decker, who has a hamstring injury and is questionable for this game. The reason why you haven’t seen a line posted for this game is that everyone’s waiting to see if Decker will play or not. That’s what’s holding everything up.

For Michigan, a lot of attrition exists. Defensive back Jourdan Lewis is questionable with a concussion. Chase Winovich, a tight end, is expected to miss this game for undisclosed reasons, and he joins a list of several other players in the same boat: linebacker Mike McCray, tight end Tyrone Wheatley, and running back Wyatt Shallman. Fullback Joe Kerridge is questionable with an arm injury. Defensive tackle Bryan Mone is out indefinitely with a leg injury. Offensive lineman Logan Tulley was dismissed from the team last week.

 

Handicapping The Game
The Wolverines are going to win the game. It’s a matter of how much, and for over-under bettors, with what kind of score. Since Michigan’s defense is so good to begin with, and since UNLV’s offense struggled so much against UCLA, it’s reasonable to think Michigan will win by at least 25 to 30 points, and with a point total of around 40 points, something like 34 to 7. There is no line out right now but use that scoreline to gauge how to make your College Football Pick this game.

College Football Pick: Michigan

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