Free College Football Picks For Kansas State vs. West Virginia In Week 5

Kansas State Wildcats Players

Thursday, September 29, 2016 6:40 PM GMT

Our college football analyst breaks down Saturday’s upcoming game between Kansas State and West Virginia. Go inside to read this revealing betting article, which concludes with a winning college football pick.

Kansas State vs. West Virginia
West Virginia will host Kansas on Saturday in what will be the Big 12 Conference opening game for both teams. The opening kickoff at Mountaineers Stadium in Morgantown is slated for 3:30 PM ET. Current (9/28) college football betting odds at Bovada displays West Virginia as a 3.5-point home favorite, and there’s a total of 54.0. Bovada is widely known as one of the best sportsbooks to do business with.

 

Recent Series History
Kansas State is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games against West Virginia, and won by an average of 17.7 points per contest. As a matter of fact, Kansas State was an underdog on 3 of those 4 occasions. Furthermore, all 4 games went under the total.

 

Huge Defensive Edge to Kansas State
The Kansas State defense has been outstanding during its first 3 games. They’ve allowed 11 points and 179 yards per contest, while holding its opponents to a meager 3.8 yards per play.

The West Virginia defense has been uninspiring thus far. The Mountaineers stop unit has allowed an average of 462 yards per game. They’re coming off a game in which they permitted BYU to score 32 points, and also rack up a sizable 521 yards of total offense. West Virginia has been especially vulnerable against the run, allowing 215 rushing yards per game, and they’re surrendering a lofty 5.0 yards per attempt.

 

Turnover Comparisons
Kansas State is a stellar +3 in turnover margin through 3 games. That’s been highlighted by forcing opponents to commit a combined 6 turnovers.

Despite their gaudy offensive numbers to this point, West Virginia hasn’t done a great job of protecting the football. They’ve given the ball away 6 times in 3 games.

 

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College Football Perfect Betting Angle
Kansas State is coming off two straight wins. They defeated Florida Atlantic 2 weeks ago by a score of 63-7, and last Saturday came away with a 35-0 victory over Southwest Missouri State.  

Since 1991, any college football away underdog of 3.0 or 3.5 (Kansas State), coming off 2 straight wins in which they allowed 7 points or less in each outing, resulted in those underdogs going 8-0 ATS. The underdogs won all 8 of those contests straight up, and did so by an average of 10.5 points per game.

 

Final Take and Pick
I firmly believe that Kansas State is the more disciplined and better-coached team compared to West Virginia. I foresee them being able to run the ball with a high degree of success in this game. The Kansas State defense will be able to get enough key stops against an explosive West Virginia offense, and additionally force the Mountaineers to commit crucial turnovers at inopportune times. My lean is toward the road underdog, and they’ll be one of my college football week 5 predictions.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.

 

Free College Football Pick: Kansas State +3.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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