Free College Football Picks ATS - Mississippi St. vs Massachusetts

Mississippi St Player salutes fans

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, September 21, 2016 8:45 PM GMT

Our analyst went 5-3-1 ATS with his college football week 3 predictions. Join us in reading his betting preview on this Saturday’s game between Mississippi State and UMass, and it concludes with a college football pick.

Mississippi St. vs. UMass
Massachusetts gets an opportunity to host its second “Power 5 Conference” team this season when Mississippi State (SEC) comes calling. The Minutemen lost an earlier home game to Boston College (ACC) by a score of 26-7 and failed to cover as a 15.5-point underdog. The opening kickoff on Saturday at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts is slated for 3:30 PM ET.

At the time of this writing, college football week 4 spreads and totals at Heritage lists Mississippi State as a 21.5-point road favorite, and there’s a total of 45.0. By the way, Heritage has an A+ grade according to my reliable online sports betting sites rating guide. Additionally, Heritage is currently offering a generous 50% signup cash bonus.

 

UMass Off Rare Win
Massachusetts is coming off last Saturday’s confidence-boosting 21-13 home win over Florida International. Despite that victory, the Minutemen are still an abysmal 9-41 (.180) since 2012, and that comprises of an awful 5-20 at home.

 

Anemic Offense
Saying the UMass offense has struggled so far in 2016 would be an enormous understatement. They’re averaging a paltry 11.7 points and 256.3 total yards per game. What’s a really alarming statistic pertaining to the feeble UMass offense is their pathetic rushing numbers. The Minutemen are averaging a measly 46.3 yards rushing per game and are doing so at a trifling clip of 1.3 yards per attempt.  

 

Bulldogs off Tough Loss
Mississippi State put up a valiant effort in last Saturday’s narrow 23-20 loss at LSU.  The Bulldogs were able to battle back from a pair of 20 point deficits during that contest in Baton Rouge. They had a chance in the final moments to attain an improbable come from behind, but its last offensive possession stalled with less than 2 minutes to play, and LSU took over on downs. Nevertheless, it was a positive effort from a young Mississippi State team, and one they can surely build upon. The loss made them 1-2 overall and 1-1 in SEC action.

 

College Football Week 4 ATS Betting Angle
Any college football favorite of 21.5 to 30.5 (Mississippi State), playing in game 3 or beyond, and is coming off a loss by 6 points or less, resulted in those sizable chalks going 46-15 ATS (75.4%) since 2008.

 

Final Take and Pick
Regarding Mississippi State looking past Massachusetts, and this upcoming contest being sandwiched between a pair of SEC opponents, it’s certainly a legitimate concern. Nevertheless, the Bulldogs already learned a valuable lesson through a 21-20 season-opening loss to South Alabama. That defeat came as a mammoth 28.0-point home favorite. They also have a bye week following this game, and most times than not, it perpetuates a focused effort in regards to a prohibitive favorite. I going to have a very small lean on the road team in this contest, and one of my college football week 4 predictions will be indicative of such.


Free College Football Pick: Mississippi State -21.5
Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

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