Free College Football Picks: Army vs. Navy

Ross Benjamin

Monday, December 8, 2014 7:15 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 8, 2014 7:15 PM UTC

This insightful College Football betting preview article focuses on the huge rivalry game between Army Cadets and Navy Midshipmen happening this Satuday at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. 

A Fabled College Football Rivalry
The Army Cadets and Navy Midshipmen will meet on Saturday for the 114th time in this long and storied rivalry. Navy has gone 58-49-7 all time versus Army, and has won each of the previous 12-games in this fierce rivalry. The last 8-meetings in this series has resulted in each of those contests going under the total. Since 1963, only the 1996 and 2010 games have seen both teams enter with winning records. According to the College Football odds, the Navy Midshipmen are a 15.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 58.0. This season’s game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The contest will be televised nationally by CBS, and kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 PM ET.


Two Prolific Rushing Attacks
The Army Cadets enter this regular season finale with a less than impressive 4-7 record on the season. However, they do possess one of the most efficient and powerful ground attacks in college football. The Cadets have averaged 305 yards per game on the ground in 2014, and also an impressive 5.4 yards per rushing attempt. Army has run the ball on an extremely high 86% of their offensive plays, and average only 9 pass attempts per game.

As impressive as those rushing numbers are for Army, the Navy Midshipmen’s running attack has been even better. They’re averaging 358-yards per game on the ground, and are getting a terrific 6.4 yards per rushing attempt. Similar to their rivals from West Point, the Middies are running the ball on 84% of offensive plays this season, and are averaging only 10 pass attempts per game.


Another Losing Season for the Cadets
Army enters this game with a 4-7 record, and has endured a losing season for the 4th consecutive year in a row. On a positive note, their 4-wins were the most since going 7-6 during the 2010 campaign under former head coach Rich Ellerson. Army’s 3 wins over FBS opponents this season came versus opponents that went a combined 12-23 (.343) on the year. The other win came in their previous game over Fordham who plays at the FCS level. Since 10/8/2011, Army has gone a dismal 10-32 over their last 42-games.


The Beat goes on at Navy
Navy has gone 6-5 thus far in 2014, and has already accepted an invitation to play in the Poinsettia Bowl against San Diego State. It will mark the 11th time in the last 12-years that Navy has appeared in a bowl game. It also must be noted, the 5-losses by Navy this season have come versus opponents with a cumulative 42-19 (.689) record. That includes a season opening defeat at the hands of Ohio State (12-1) who will be one of 4-teams vying for a national title beginning on New Year’s Day, and the Middies actually led the Buckeyes at halftime of that 34-17 loss.


Final Analysis
Navy doesn’t only have the better record in this matchup they’ve also faced much stiffer competition than Army has in the 2014 season. The Middies will also possess the best player on the field in this contest. Junior quarterback Keenan Reynolds is an absolute difference maker and game breaker. I hate to lay this big of a number in a rivalry game, but that’s exactly what I’m going to do for one of my upcoming College Football picks.

Free College Football Pick: Navy -15.0 over Army at Pinnacle

comment here