Focus on Total for Kansas State vs. West Virginia NCAAF Pick

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, November 18, 2014 4:07 PM GMT

Our SBR College Football betting guru has gone a terrific 28-12 (70%) this season & is eager to share his free pick for this week's battle between Kansas State and West Virginia.

Thursday Night College Football Big 12 Battle
West Virginia will host the 13th ranked Kansas State Wildcats on Thursday at Mountaineer Field in Morgantown. The game will be televised by Fox Sports1 with the opening kickoff slated for 7:00 PM ET. According to the college football betting odds at Bookmaker, West Virginia is a 2.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 58.0. The Wildcats have won both meetings in dominant fashion over the Mountaineers during the past 2-seasons, 55-14 in Morgantown, and last year 35-12 at home. Both of those contests stayed under the total.

 

Looking to Rebound from Disappointing Defeat
The Kansas State Wildcats are coming off a disheartening 41-20 loss at TCU in their previous game and currently sit as underdogs in College Football odds. The defeat put an end to any aspirations they had in regards to being part of the 4-team college football playoff on New Year’s Day. However, their whole body of work this season has been impressive. They enter this upcoming game with a stellar 7-2 overall record, and are 5-1 in Big 12 Conference play. There’s still a realistic chance of them winning the Big 12 conference title. They can do so by winning their remaining 3-games, and hoping that TCU stumbles versus Texas or Iowa State. The Wildcats are a disciplined team that’s committed just 8-turnovers in 9-games this season. They’ve seen each of their 3 road games this year go over the total, and with an average of 60.7 points combined being scored.

 

A Need to Stop the Bleeding
The West Virginia Mountaineers have a 6-4 overall record, and are 4-3 in conference play. Before placing your College Football pick based on that information alone, know that they will be looking to put an end to a 2-game losing streak, after suffering losses at the hands of TCU (31-30), and at Texas (33-16) as a 3.0 point favorite. The Mountaineers have seen each of their previous 6-contests go under the total. However, those 6-games averaged 56.7 points combined, and the average total in those contests was 67.0. Unlike their upcoming opponent, West Virginia hasn’t done very well in terms of ball security, nor have they done a good job of creating turnovers. The Mountaineers are a horrible -13 in turnover margin this season. This is a dangerous offensive team despite their flaws, averaging 34.1 points, and 502.2 yards per game.

Take advantage of these College Football matches featuring profitable underdogs

College Football Totals System
Any team (West Virginia) with a winning record with total of 56.5 to 63.0, coming off a conference straight up favorite loss, versus an opponent with a winning record, has seen 28 of those 36-games (77.8%) go over the total during the past 5-seasons.

Free College Football Pick: Kansas State/West Virginia to go over the total of 58.0 available at BetOnline