Focus on Clemson Defense for Week 8 College Football Pick ATS

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, October 14, 2014 12:29 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 14, 2014 12:29 PM GMT

Clemson isn’t going to be as popular a College Football pick due to its starting quarterback going down with injury, but its defense will be the difference against Boston College.

A Huge Loss
Clemson coach Dabo Swinney expects freshman quarterback Deshaun Watson to miss at least a month due to an injured finger on his throwing hand, which is important to consider when making your College Football picks, as he accounted for 1,093 yards and 11 scoring strikes since taking over under center.

The Tigers have the ability to win their next four scheduled games by a double-digit margin, especially in this particular matchup, as they’ve captured the last three meetings by an average of 15 points.

It’s also important to point out that the program is 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS as road favorites since 2012, with the 'over' going 4-3 in that situation.

 

Control the Football
Boston College ranks sixth in the country in time of possession at 34:44, which is one of the more crucial statistics to handicap when looking over the College Football odds, as it often controls the action on the field with a power running game.

The Eagles own a 1,513 to 134-yard margin on the ground in their four victories this season, but that type of separation is going to be difficult to reach in this affair, as the Tigers limit foes to 100.5 rushing yards per game.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points.

 

Ferocious D
The Tigers entered the season with a reputation of having one of the best defenses in the country, and they haven’t disappointed through six contests, as allow an average of 286.0 total yards per game.

Clemson has held Boston College to 168 or fewer rushing yards in each of the last 10 meetings, including a combined 271 in capturing the last three games in this Atlantic Coast Conference rivalry.

 

Playing Mistake Free
The Eagles have had a very advantageous schedule up to this point, which has allowed the roster to lose just a single fumble—joining just nine other schools in ranking third in the country in that category.

Boston College is tied for eighth among FBS schools in being penalized just 4.00 times per game, but that number is below Clemson’s current figure of 3.83.

The advantages that this home underdog normally enjoys over most opponents simply isn’t there in this game.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Tigers as one of their Week 8 College Football picks, as they’ve gone 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous contest.

Free College Football Pick: Clemson Tigers -6.5 at Pinnacle Sports

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