Five Upset Alerts For Your College Football Picks on Saturday

Ross Benjamin

Friday, September 25, 2015 8:48 PM GMT

Our college football analyst will once again share his upset alerts for the games being played on Saturday 9/27. Join us in reading this betting preview article that will give you five college football picks.

Wake Forest vs. Indiana 12:30 PM ET
Indiana has been very impressive offensely during their 3-0 start. Let’s not get carried away, Indiana as a favorite on the road against a “Power Five Conference” opponent? Each of their three wins has come in Bloomington. The Hoosiers are 6-33 straight up in their last 39 away games. Contrarily, they’ve allowed 34.7 points and 554 yards per game.

Wake Forest comes off a 17-14 road win at Army last Saturday that improved its record to 2-1. The Demon Deacons are a somewhat respectable 15-11 SU&ATS in their previous twenty-six home games. Tightening those numbers up, Wake Forest is 9-1 straight up in the last ten at home during the first four games of the season.

College Football Pick: Play on Wake Forest +3.5 at The Greek

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Tennessee vs. Florida 3:30 PM ET
This just in, Tennessee has lost 10 straight times to Florida. The Volunteers rely heavily on their power running game which has been very effective thus far in 2015. However, they’ll be facing a Gators defense that’s allowed only 58 yards rushing per game at a rate of 2.0 yards per attempt. Granted this is a much improved Tennessee team, but bettors are wagering on them like Peyton Manning will be under center again. According to college football odds, the Volunteers opened as an underdog and are now a favorite. Considering that 63% of public action has gone on Tennessee, it’s the kiss of death for the favorite.

College Football Pick: Play on Florida +1.5 at 5Dimes

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Middle Tennessee State vs. Illinois 4:00 PM ET
MTSU is a very athletic team that will be a dangerous opponent for a Big Ten bottom feeder like Illinois. “The Illini” were exposed in a 48-14 loss at North Carolina last week, especially in light of the fact they were only a 6.0 point underdog. MTSU is off to a 2-1 start, scored 70 points or more in both of their wins, and its only defeat came at then #2 Alabama.

College Football Pick: Play on Middle Tennessee State +4.5 at Heritage

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn 7:30 PM ET
Auburn has been the most overrated and overvalued team in the first quarter of 2015. The Tigers opened the season ranked #6 in the country. They came close to blowing a 17 point lead in their opener against Louisville, and had to hang on for a 24-17 win. The following week as a 39.0 point home favorite against a FCS opponent Jacksonville State, they needed a touchdown with less than a minute to go in order to just tie the game, and escaped with a 27-20 win in overtime. Last week their luck ran out in a 45-14 lambasting at the hands of LSU.

Mississippi State is 2-1 with their only loss coming to LSU 21-19. As long as Dak Prescott is the quarterback at Mississippi State, they have a realistic shot of beating anyone in the right circumstances. This is one of those times.

College Football Pick: Play on Mississippi State +2.5 at BetOnline

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Missouri vs. Kentucky 7:30 PM ET
Kentucky as a favorite in an SEC game, what’s the college football world coming to? Let me put Kentucky’s recent woes in SEC action into perspective. They’ve gone 6-36 straight up and 13-29 ATS in their last forty-two SEC games. This will be just the third time during that stretch in which they were installed as a conference favorite.

I know Missouri appears to be overrated at this juncture, but I’ve seen and read this book before. By the way, Missouri has won and covered in each of their previous eight SEC away contests. Their average margin of victory in those road tilts was an impressive 16.0 points per game. Since joining the SEC in 2012, Missouri has gone 3-0 SU&ATS against Kentucky, and won those contests by an average of 21.3 points per game. I’m on the Tigers plus the small number for one my college football picks this week.

College Football Pick: Play on Missouri +3 at SportsBetting

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