Five Red Hot Leans for Your College Football Picks on Saturday

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, September 24, 2015 8:29 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 24, 2015 8:29 PM UTC

Our college football analyst provides us with five leans that have captured his attention. Get the best college football odds before betting Saturday morning.

Nevada vs. Buffalo 3:30 ET
As I alluded to in my betting preview article on this contest, this is more of a tough spot for Nevada rather than a bad matchup. The Wolfpack are coming off consecutive games against ranked opponents (#14 Texas A&M, #16 Arizona), and I can’t imagine their intensity level being at a high level against a team from the MAC. In addition, they’ll have a 4.5 hour flight and must travel across three time zones.

Buffalo gave Penn State all they can handle in “Happy Valley” just two weeks ago, and went on the road last week and came away with a dominating win over Florida Atlantic. The Bulls are 12-3 in their last fifteen home games, and that includes 9-0 in the previous nine when installed as a favorite.

College Football Pick:  Buffalo -1 (-106) at Pinnacle

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Tennessee vs. Florida 3:30 PM ET
This is virtually an even game according to current (9/23) college football odds at all the major sportsbooks. Granted, Tennessee is a vastly improved team, but they’ve lost their last ten meetings against the Gators. Florida is coming off a nice win at Kentucky last week to improve its record to 3-0. The Volunteers get swallowed at “The Swamp” on Saturday.

College Football Pick: Florida +1 at The Greek

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California vs. Washington 5:00 PM ET
The line in this game seems a bit suspicious to me. I’m certainly not paranoid but they’re still all after me. When checking my 4d handicapping software to see if there was a legitimate betting angle, well my intuition was validated.

Any road favorite of 2.5 to 6.5 in game 3 of the season or beyond, playing with revenge stemming from 5 or more losses in a row to the current opponent, resulted in that road favorite going 16-2 ATS since 2007.

College Football Pick: California -4 at Bookmaker

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Arkansas State vs. Toledo 7:00 PM ET
I was very lucky to get a push with Toledo last week thanks to overtime. The Rockets upset win at Arkansas two weeks ago was surely an impressive win. However, the luster from that win was diminished after Arkansas lost again last Saturday as a double digit home favorite to Texas Tech. “Sports Psychology 101” would suggest that a MAC team opening the season with two wins over SEC and BIG 12 (Iowa State) opponents, will be prime for a letdown against a Sun Belt Conference team. I wouldn’t be shocked to see an outright upset in this game, but we’ll accept the points as an additional bonus.

College Football Pick: Arkansas State +7.5 at BetOnline

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Utah vs. Oregon 8:30 PM ET
The Oregon offense has remained status quo, fast paced, and explosive. The Ducks defense is another story. Their stop unit has allowed an average of 33.7 points per contest in their first three game of the season. Even more alarming is that Georgia State racked up 451 yards of total offense against them last Saturday, and Eastern Washington amassed 549 yards in their season opener. The #18 Utes will present a genuine challenge in Eugene on Saturday. I like the underdog value for one of my college football picks.

College Football Pick: Utah +11 at Heritage

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