Finding Football Betting Value in Nebraska vs. Iowa Odds

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, November 25, 2014 6:54 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 25, 2014 6:54 PM GMT

Keep in mind before placing your Week 14 picks that each of these College Football teams enters off home field losses which has precluded them from vying for the Big 10 West divisional superiority. 

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes 
Both of these NCAAF teams in Week 14 enters off home field losses which has precluded them from vying for the Big 10 West divisional superiority.  Nebraska enters at 8-3 SU, 4-3 SU in Big 10, while Iowa is a similar 7-4 SU, 4-3 in Big 10 play.  There the difference ends.  For, while Iowa has authored a consistent season with few realistic hopes of winning the division crown, the rug has been pulled out from under this Nebraska team in recent weeks. 

Last week, Nebraska lost at home 28-24 to Minnesota.  Golden Gophers ran roughshod over the Black shirts, outgaining them 279-174 overland.  Combined with the previous weeks’ decapitation at Wisconsin (59-24, outrushed 581-118), Nebraska has now seen their season go up in smoke.  The combination of those last 2 weeks’ results has seen a once sturdy Nebraska front 7 be outrushed 860-292, allowing a whopping 8.1 DEF YPR.  With their own star RB, Abdullah, suffering from a sprained knee, they have been helpless to compete.  As a result, a division crown that was there for the taking has instead resulted in their elimination.  Nebraska HC Pelini is normally a reliable play, following a defeat.  But the nature of the consecutive losses leading to the loss of confidence and the realization that they can no longer attain a division title, must leave this Nebraska team very flat on Friday!    

Though Iowa comes off a loss last week to Wisconsin (26-24), they were highly competitive with a red hot Badger team that had been annihilating recent opposition.  In fact, the Hawkeyes, behind QB Ruddock, passed for 311 yards and a 412-405 yardage advantage.  Iowa has authored their usual steady attack unit this season, averaging 28 PPG and 401 YPG, good for 5.5 offensive YP play.  As usual, it is the Iowa defense that leads the way, allowing just 332 YPG, 5.1 YP play.  The hidden advantage for Iowa to keep in mind when placing your College Football picks here is that in this contest is the outstanding coaching ability of HC Ferentz and his staff.  They coach the Hawkeyes to be strong fundamentally, take care of the football, excel on special teams and rarely beat themselves.  In addition, Ferentz is a near 60% ATS play in Big 10 action in his career and features a superior record in games following a defeat.  This year that includes a 3-0 ATS mark.  Following the Iowa St. loss, Iowa bounced back to defeat Pitt (24-20). Following the Maryland defeat, the Hawkeyes responded with a 48-7 victory over Northwestern.  Finally, after a loss to Minnesota, Iowa responded with a 30-14 win at Illinois.

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