FAU vs. East Carolina Prediction Tonight: Week 11 Picks & Odds
Conditions could be ripe for a Thursday night shootout in the American Athletic Conference.
Our FAU vs. East Carolina prediction tonight leans into the revival of the ECU offense after Kalin Houser took the reins under center, which has produced an uptick in recent weeks.
East Carolina (-7.5) hosts FAU at 8 p.m. ET at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville, N.C. (ESPN2). The below picks are part of our college football Week 11 predictions.
Best FAU vs. East Carolina picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: East Carolina -7.5 (-105 via FanDuel) vs. FAU ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Over 57 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
FAU vs. East Carolina against the spread prediction: Week 11
East Carolina cover the spread: -7.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
FAU vs. East Carolina opening odds:
- FAU: +7.5 (-110)
- East Carolina: -7.5 (-110)
East Carolina is 4-3-1 ATS on the season, but judging the Pirates only on their season-long record misses the context of their recent quarterback change.
New QB, new outlook for Pirates?
After the struggling Jake Garcia was benched midway through a blowout loss to Charlotte, Michigan State transfer QB Houser has guided ECU to a 1-0-1 ATS record as the new starter.
Even incorporating the period with Garcia as the starter, the Pirates have performed well at home all year. ECU is 3-1 ATS at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium; its only failed cover at home came by half a point against Appalachian State.
Florida Atlantic is 1-2 ATS in road games, posting an average margin against the spread of -12.3 as the away team (seventh-worst in FBS).
The line has stayed at its opening mark of East Carolina -7.5 across our best college football betting sites, but you can gain an edge on the odds by playing it spread at FanDuel (-105) or DraftKings (-108).
Best odds: -105 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.22%
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FAU vs. East Carolina best bet
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Over 57 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
In five games against FBS foes started by Garcia, the Pirates averaged 23.4 points per game. In Houser’s two starts, ECU has scored 84 points (42.0 PPG). ECU’s pace, running a play every 21.5 seconds, is the fourth-fastest in the country.
Defense optional on both sides
ECU’s adjusted defensive efficiency ranked 85th in FBS. Florida Atlantic checks in at 100th nationally.
East Carolina ranks 100th in FBS in scoring defense, allowing 32.0 points per game. Florida Atlantic is even worse, allowing 33.0 points per game, and ranking 109th in the country in scoring defense.
After opening at 55.5, the total has climbed to 57.5 across several of our best sports betting sites. Over bettors can still find the number at 57 at Caesars and bet365.
Best odds: -110 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.38%
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FAU vs. East Carolina odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
FAU vs. East Carolina game info
- When: Thursday, Nov. 7
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium (Greenville, N.C.)
- How to watch: ESPN2
- Weather: 68 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 4 mph S
- Favorite: East Carolina -7.5 (-105 via FanDuel)
College football betting odds pages
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