Fade Overvalued Cincinnati And Take Purdue Against The Spread In Week 2

Purdue Boilermakers

Ross Benjamin

Friday, September 9, 2016 3:15 PM GMT

Our college football analyst breaks down Saturday’s game between Cincinnati and Purdue. Don’t miss the opportunity to read this revealing betting article culminating with a college football pick.

Bearcats and Boilermakers Seek 2-0 Start
Purdue will host Cincinnati on Saturday in a battle of 1-0 teams. The opening kickoff at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana is slated for Noon ET. These teams last met in 2013, and Cincinnati prevailed easily at home by a score 42-7.

Current college football betting odds at 5Dimes shows Cincinnati as a 6.5-point road favorite, and the posted total is 59.5. At this present time, 5Dimes is offering customers new and old some terrific bonuses. You can’t go wrong when choosing to bet with one of the best sportsbooks in our industry.

 

Last Week
Cincinnati opened their 2016 season with a 28-7 win over Tennessee-Martin. The contest was much closer than the final score indicates. The Bearcats actually trailed 7-6 at the half, and it was a one-possession game with less than six minutes to play. Based on Cincinnati closing as a 37.5-point favorite, it’s not a stretch to say this game was more competitive than Cincinnati fans had hoped for. Cincinnati committed 3 turnovers, and they allowed their FCS opponent to rush for 177 yards. As a matter of fact, Tennessee-Martin held a time of possession advantage of 37:06 to 22:54.

Purdue didn’t have nearly as difficult a time against Eastern Kentucky. The Boilermakers jumped out to a 21-0 lead and then cruised home for a 45-21 win. They exhibited an impressive and balanced offensive attack, gaining 261 yards rushing (6.7 YPR) in addition to 251 through the air.

 

Intangibles
Since 2013, Cincinnati has gone a dismal 2-4 straight up, and 0-6 ATS in non-conference away games. Their only two wins during that sequence both came against Miami-Ohio. Those Miami teams finished those seasons with an abysmal 0-12 record in 2013 and 3-9 during its 2015 campaign. Needless to say, those victories were less than inspiring.

It’s put up or shut up time for Purdue’s head coach Darrell Hazell. He’s entering his fourth season at Purdue and has a combined 7-30 record. Making matters worse, 4 of those 7 wins came versus FCS opponents. Purdue hasn’t started a season 2-0 since 2009. A win against Cincinnati would do wonders for a football program in dire need of something positive to build off of.

 

Final Analysis and Pick
Based on the latest FCS coaches poll, Purdue faced the much tougher opponent last week in Eastern Kentucky as opposed to Tennessee-Martin. I made a bold prediction on my podcast last week, stating that Cincinnati won’t make it to a bowl game this year. With that in mind, I’m jumping on an opportunity to fade the Bearcats as a road favorite, and one of my Saturday college football free picks will be reflective of exactly that.

 

Free College Football Pick: Purdue +6.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3028218, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,139,1275], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]