Eastern Michigan and Kentucky the Biggest Week 2 Underdog Winners

Sunday, September 9, 2018 11:46 AM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 9, 2018 11:46 AM UTC

Week 2 (Friday-Saturday) of the college football season was shorter than Week 1 (Thursday to Monday) but still had more games, action and as many big upsets and contextual bad beats.

NCAAF Capper Week 2 Picks Record: 5-2-0
Week 2 Picks: Northwestern, OSU, Colorado, Utah State, Utah, Arkansas, ASU
NCAAF YTD Picks Record: 7-4-0

NCAAF: Bettor’s Odds and Ends, Week 2

Eastern Michigan (2-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) was a woeful 1-38 in its last 39 against the Big Ten, but the Eagles upset Purdue, 20-19 at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, IN on a 25-yard FG by Chad Ryland with time expiring to beat the Boilermakers (PUR -15, 50), who closed as high as -700 on the moneyline and who could be found as high as +515 offshore on the takeback (5Dimes).

Kentucky upset No. 25-ranked Florida, 27-16 at the Swamp (FLA -14) as the Wildcats used a 14-0 3Q to wash away a 10-7 deficit at halftime in early SEC play in a game that will hurt the Gators in the polls (see ya) and maybe psychologically. “Our fan base has waited a long time for this one,” an exhausted Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops said after the Wildcats' first victory vs. Florida in the L32 meetings (Nov. 15, 1986).

And, FCS side Maine knocked off FBS side WKU, 31-28 in Bowling Green, KY as the Black Bears won outright as +350 underdogs on the ML (5Dimes) with the visitors rallying from a 21-0 deficit in the 1Q on the road to pull off the big win and improve to 2-0 SU/ATS after beating New Hampshire in Week 1 (28-7, +195 ML, Heritage).

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📹 | Listen to @ShepMatt call of Ryland's [@c_ryland9] game-winning field goal as EMU beats Purdue, 20-19!#EMUEagles | #FocusFightFinish | @MACSports | #FlyTheFlag pic.twitter.com/uJaqXxUMfL

— Eastern Michigan Football (@EMUFB) September 8, 2018
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Enigmatic Colorado State knocked off Arkansas, 34-27 (ARK -14) thanks to a 17-0 4Q at home, winning outright as big +450 ML dogs (5Dimes). Coastal Carolina (+285 ML, 5Dimes) knocked off 10½-point chalk UAB 47-24 with the Chanticleers outscoring the Blazers 27-0 in the 2H to get the glory and the butter.

Bets You Wish You Had (The Easy Money)

In NCAAF Week 2 play on Saturday we saw several games where the money seemed to come easy to FBS and FCS bettors, with these among some of the easiest.

  • Michigan: 1st Half vs WMU (-17½; led 35-0 with 6:55 in 2Q)

  • Wake Forest-Towson: 1st Half Over 38½ (WAKE 38 TOW 20 Half)

  • Northwestern-Duke: 2nd Half Under 25½, 5Dimes (NU 0 DUKE 0 2H)

  • Eastern Michigan: Moneyline over Purdue (+515, 5Dimes)

  • Ohio State (-35): Led RUT 35-0 at 5:00 mark of 2nd Quarter

  • ASU-MSU: 1st Half Under 27½ (MSU 3 ASU 0 Half)

The No. 8 Wolverines were also a slicker than your average side to have with Michigan winning by a 49-3 final (MICH -28) after jumping to that 25-0 lead vs the Broncos in Ann Arbor. The No. 4 Buckeyes (outscored RUT 166-3 L3) had scored 161 straight points vs Rutgers before a 3Q Scarlet Knights FG (2017, 56-0; 2016, 58-0), and ended up winning 52-3. So happy we joined this Big Ten conference. Now is there any way we can possibly get hazard pay, Commissioner Delany?

  • Alabama (-37): Led ARK ST 40-0 at Halftime, won 57-7

  • Ole Miss-SIU 1st Half: Over 36½ (SIU 38 OLE MISS 35 Half; game Total 65½)

  • Tennessee (-38): Led ETSU 38-0 at Half

  • Iowa-Iowa State 1st Half: Under 23 -127, Pinnacle (IOWA 3 ISU 3 H)

  • Iowa-Iowa State Full Game: Under 47, BetOnline (IOWA 13 ISU 3 F)

  • Texas Tech (-49): Went Over the game Total (74) themselves (77) vs Lamar

In the high scoring FCS-FBS matchup between Southern Illinois University and Ole Miss in Oxford, MS, the Salukis went "over" the 1H Total (36½) themselves (38) while the host Rebels almost did (35) in an almost defenseless game from the Magnolia State which saw a grand total of 117 points scored — the third 100+ point game of the fresh year already (OHIO ST 77 ORE ST 31, HAW 59 NAVY 41) — in a 76-41 win by the SEC side, avoiding major embarrassment.

Bets You’re Glad You Didn’t Have (The Near-Misses)
  • SMU (+23½) led #16 TCU 9-0 with 5:00 left in the 1Q under the Friday night lights in Dallas, then proceeded to get outscored 44-3 by the visiting Horned Frogs, going from +32½ to -6½ ATS and losing at the betting windows.

  • #23 Oregon (-49 -127, Bookmaker) attained its highest lead against visiting FBS side Portland State on a 4Q TD with just 1:48 to play to make it 62-14 — and 1 point from a Push — but the PAT was blocked. Oregon opened at -46½.

  • Akron (-42½) ran out to a 41-0 7 lead over visiting FCS side Morgan State with 10:58 left in the 3rd Quarter but didn’t score another point while the Bears scored a 4Q TD to help cover ATS by 8½ in a 41-17 final scoreline in Zipville.

  • Samford (+8000 ML, 5Dimes) led 23-21 most of the way at FSU (FSU -30½), until a 4Q Seminoles TD at Tallahassee with just 4:03 to go finally gave the hosts the lead (29-26, eventual final 36-26) and doomed the FCS’ Bulldogs and any high-risk takers who backed QB Devlin Hodges (33/52, 440, 2 TDs, 2 INTs) and monster longshots Samford at 80/1 in the assumed win for Deondre Francois and the Noles. For 56 minutes, it looked as if a +8000 side Samford would win until 15 FSU points in the crucial L4 minutes.

  • SIU led Ole Miss at halftime by 3 (38-35) and were covering ATS by 30 before the Salukis were dogged 41-3 in the 2H by the Rebels to improbably cover ATS by 8.

Scoreless First Halves, Second Halves and Shutouts in Week 2

Scoreless 1st Halves: Liberty (vs. ARMY), Arizona (HOU), Western Michigan (MICH), HC (BC), CM (KAN), Arkansas State (ALA), Rutgers (OHIO ST), Morgan St (AKR), HOWARD (KENT ST), ETSU (TENN), North Dakota (WASH), Fresno State (MINN), USC (STAN), Tulsa (TEXAS), (UConn BOISE ST), Wyoming (MIZZOU), Arizona St (MSU), San José State (WASH ST)

Scoreless 2nd Halves: SMU (vs. TCU), Northwestern (DUKE), Duke (N’WESTERN), Georgia St (NC ST), Nevada (VANDY), Iowa State (IOWA), Towson State (WAKE), NC (EC), Charlotte (APP ST), Florida A&M (TROY), Indiana State (LOUISVILLE), North Carolina (EC), UAB (COASTAL CAROLINA)

Shutouts: Texas Tech over Lamar (77-0), Miami FL over Savannah St (77-0), LSU over SELA (31-0), No. 19 UCF over SC State (38-0), Cincinnati over Miami Ohio (21-0), Washington State over SJS (31-0)

Heisman Trophy Award Winner Futures Market Stock Report

After two official weeks, a three-player race between the now-official starting QB for No. 1 Alabama, Tua Tagovailoa (10/1 to win Heisman, June 8, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), West Virginia QB Will Grier (20/1 on June 8) and Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor (398 yards, 5 TDs) has emerged. Against New Mexico, Taylor rushed for a career-high 253 yards and 3 TDs as the No. 5 Badgers clobbered Los Lobos 45-15 in Madtown but failing to get over the ATS hump (and never covering) as big closing 35½- to 26½-point chalks offshore.

Tagovailoa was 13-for-19 for 228 yards and 4 TDs in the Crimson Tide’s win over the Red Wolves while Grier padded his stats vs FCS side Youngstown State in a 52-17 dismemberment by No. 14 West Virginia in Morgantown (WV -33) with Grier going 21-for-28 for 332 yards and 4 TDs (INT) in the Big 12-MVC mismatch which saw the hosts score in every quarter (7, 14, 21, 10) and cover ATS.

Arizona’s Khalil Tate (24/45, 341, 0 TDs, 2 INT) had another rough day as Houston pounded Arizona 45-18 and had to leave the game with an ankle injury, while Oregon QB Justin Hebert had a decent day (20/26, 250, 4 TDs) against a little FCS side (PORT ST) in a 62-14 romp in Eugene (ORE -50). Ohio State QB Dwayne Haskins had another impressive game (10/12, 117, 3 TDS) as the Buckeyes routed Rutgers at the Horseshoe 52-3 (OHIO ST -35½) as the 6-3, 220-pound sophomore led the rout.

Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray accounted for 5 TDs as the Sooners hammered UCLA, 49-21 (OKLA -31) in Norman with Murray going 19-for-33 for 306 yards and 3 TDs (and INT) and rushing for 2 TDs and 69 yards on 10 carries for No. 6 Oklahoma. Murray’s backfield mate, Rodney Anderson, rushed 6 times for just 19 yards and a TD.

Penn State’s Trace McSorley (20/1 to win Heisman, June 8) vs. Pitt in the Keystone Classic (PSU 52-43-4) at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, and Big Ten rep Penn State rolled 51-6 with McSorley having a serviceable night for the No. 13 Nittany Lions (14/30, 145, 2 TDs) who covered ATS (PSU -7) in the home of the NFL’s Steelers. Last year’s Heisman runner-up, Bryce Love (20/131, TD), helped No. 10 Stanford upend No. 15 USC at Stanford Stadium 17-3 in a big Pac-12 showdown and huge win for the Cardinal (STAN -5).

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