Early Week 3 Money on Ole Miss (vs. Alabama) and Ohio State (vs. TCU)

Monday, September 10, 2018 3:18 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 10, 2018 3:18 PM UTC

The point spreads for Week 3 are out from BetOnline and among the biggest early mover is Ole Miss. The spread fell from an opening 22½ to 19½ for its big SEC showdown against top-ranked Alabama.

NCAAF Capper Week 2 Picks Record: 5-2-0
NCAAF YTD Picks Record: 7-4-0

NCAAF: Opening Line Report Week 3

Thursday

Boston College -1 over WAKE FOREST (up to 5½ after release, BetOnline)

Friday

MEMPHIS -24 Georgia State (up to -26)

Saturday

#5 OKLAHOMA -15 Iowa State (up to -18)
Florida State -2½ SYRACUSE
INDIANA -16 Ball State (down to -14½ -115)
KANSAS -3 -115 Rutgers
MARYLAND -11½ Temple (up to -14 -115)
ARMY -5 Hawai’i (up to -6½ -120)
#21 Miami Florida -9½ -115 TOLEDO (up to -10)
NEBRASKA -7½ Troy (up to -8½)
#11 PENN STATE -36 -105 Kent State
#18 Central Florida -14 -115 NORTH CAROLINA (down to -13½)
TENNESSEE -28½ -115 Utep (up to 29½)
#13 VIRGINIA TECH -29½ East Carolina (down to 29)
Georgia Tech -4 -115 PITT (down to -3 -120)
Tulane -3 -115 UAB (up to -3½)
#8 NOTRE DAME -14½ Vanderbilt
VIRGINIA -6 -115 Ohio (up to -7 -115)
#2 CLEMSON -36 Georgia Southern (down to -34½ -105)
#7 AUBURN -8½ #12 Lsu (up to -10 -105)
South Florida -11 -105 ILLINOIS (down to -9½ -113)
#6 WISCONSIN -24 Brigham Young (down to 23)
BAYLOR PK -115 Duke (up to BAY -2)
#19 MICHIGAN -32 -115 Smu (up to -35 -117)
#24 OKLAHOMA ST -4½ #17 Boise State (down to -3½ -115)
APPALACHIAN STATE -13½ Southern Miss (up to -16)
NORTHERN ILLINOIS -15 -115 Central Michigan (down to -14)
#14 West Virginia -3 -115 NC STATE (up to -4)
MINNESOTA -14 Miami Ohio (up to -14 -120)
ARKANSAS -8 -115 North Texas (down to -7½)
FLORIDA -18 -105 Colorado State (down to -19½ -105)
KANSAS STATE -20 -105 Utsa (up to -21 -115)
#20 OREGON -29 San José State (up to -41 -115)
Old Dominion -3 CHARLOTTE (down to -2½)
BUFFALO -3 -115 Eastern Michigan (up to -4)
SOUTH ALABAMA -10 Texas State (up to -11)
#1 Alabama -22½ OLE MISS (down to -19½)
NEVADA -5½ -105 Oregon State (down to 4½)
Arkansas State -1 TULSA (down to PK -110)
#3 GEORGIA -32½ Middle Tennessee (down to -31)
FIU -4½ Massachusetts (down to -4-115)
#16 MISSISSIPPI STATE -31 -105 Louisiana Lafayette (up to -32½)
Missouri -6 PURDUE (up to -7½ +100)
TEXAS A&M -27 Louisiana-Monroe (down to -26)
NORTHWESTERN -21½ -105 Akron (down to -21)
LOUISVILLE -20 -115 Western Kentucky (up to -21)
SOUTH CAROLINA -13½ -105 Marshall (down to -12½)
New Mexico -8 NEW MEXICO STATE (down to as low as -6 -110, Bookmaker)
#4 Ohio St -10½ -115 #15 Tcu @ Arlington, TX (up to -13½)
#10 Washington -5½ -105 UTAH (up to -6)
#23 Arizona State -1½ SAN DIEGO STATE (up to -3 -115)

Note: BetOnline openers in SBROdds rotation order; vigorish -110 unless noted; HOME TEAM in CAPS

Sharps Quickly Fade Teams In Early Week 3 Betting

Among the bigger early movers after the first 7 hours of trading on the NCAAF Week 3 betting board at BetOnline on Sunday afternoon were Boston College, Ole Miss, Oklahoma, Maryland, Michigan, New Mexico State and Nick Boa (3.0 sacks) and Ohio State, all of whom saw at least 2 points of movement for their games this coming week with the first game on the betting board — Thursday night’s Boston College-Wake Forest clash from BB&T Field in Winston-Salem, NC (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET) — seeing the biggest jump at publishing time with sharps pounding the Eagles from opening 1- to as high as 5½-point favorites for their ACC Atlantic Division game (WAKE 3-1 ATS L4 vs BC).

Some other big teams the early betting birds were throwing their money on: Ole Miss over #1 Alabama with the Crimson Tide going from opening -22½ chalks down 3 points to -19½ favorites over the Rebels for their SEC showdown at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS on Saturday night (ESPN, 7 p.m. ET); #4 Ohio State, who went up 3 points from -10½ -115 to -13½ for its game against #15 TCU at Jerry World in Arlington, TX on Saturday night (ABC, 8:07 p.m. ET); and, New Mexico State (0-3 ATS, 0-6 ATS all 6 halves in 2018), who went from 8-point home dogs down to as low as 6 (Bookmaker) for their Land of Enchantment, Rio Grande Rivalry (NM 70-33-5) Saturday (NMS 4-0 ATS L4 series).

A Public-Made Chalk, Strange-Looking Lines and Two Wrong-Side Favorites?

The Baylor-Duke game on Saturday opened up as a "pick 'em" at BetOnline and the wiseguys quickly bet the host Bears into a position of being 2-point favorites, with the game being played at McLane Stadium (Artificial Hellas-Matrix) in Waco and the upstart Blue Devils (2-0 SU/ATS) coming off a tough win at Northwestern in Week 3 probably being part of their thinking.

Like with Miami-Ohio favored over Cincinnati at offshore open in Week 2 (MIA -1 -108), there are a couple of Week 3 point spreads where it sure seems like the other side could be favored, or at least in a near-even situation, with Cole McDonald (1,165 Passing yards, #1 FBS), John Ursua (423 receiving yards, #1 in FBS) and new-look Hawai’i — who have scored on all 3 first possessions (and all TDS) in 2018 after going scoreless every single time in its first possession in 2017 — opening as modest 5-point underdogs with the Black Knights being bet up to as high as 7 with early money backing Independent Army (1-1 SU/ATS) at Michie Stadium (FieldTurf) in West Point, NY.

Backers of Army here know that the Golden Rainbows will have to deal with a nasty 6-hour time difference, meaning a 6 a.m. kickoff on Saturday morning in their poor pineapple-infused body clocks — and having to travel some 4,949 miles from the Aloha State to the Empire State, one of the longest possible trips in FBS and FCS. Hawai’i (3-0 ATS L3 vs ARMY) can score and Army may have some trouble doing so with the Rainbow Warriors (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) vastly improved on both sides of the pigskin.

And another potential wrong-side favorite and strange-looking number in my mind is Oregon State being 5½-point underdogs at Nevada in a Pac 12-MWC matchup from Mackay Stadium (FieldTurf) in Reno. While the Wolf Pack (1-1 SU/ATS) were playing FCS Portland State and Vanderbilt, (VANDY 41 NEV 10; VANDY -10) the Beavers (1-1 SU/ATS, 1-11 SU in 2017) were cutting their teeth on #5 Ohio State at The Horseshoe and Big Sky members Southern Utah (OSU 48-25, OSU -13). With QB Conor Blount (27/41, 395, 3 TDs), freshman RB Jermar Jefferson (30/285/4/9.5 ypc) and WR Trevon Bradford (9/151/3 TDs/16.87 ypc), Oregon State can knock off Nevada this weekend.

Free NCAAF Week 3 Picks: Wake Forest +5½ -110, Toledo +10½ -110 (BetOnline), West Virginia -3½ -106, Hawaii +7 -106, Ohio State -13 -106 (Pinnacle), Alabama -19½ -105 (Heritage), New Mexico -6 -110, Oregon State +5½ -110 (Bookmaker)

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