Early Saturday Value: Big 12 Draws Bloody Mary Spotlight

iowa state kansas

Willie Bee

Friday, October 13, 2017 12:52 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 13, 2017 12:52 PM GMT

Can Kansas upset Iowa State? Will Texas Tech and West Virginia break the scoreboard? Can TCU stay unbeaten at Kansas State? Join us for college football picks on all three early Big 12 games.

NCAAF Season Record: 15-20-1 (-6.30)

Big 12 fans can catch all of their games Saturday before the sun goes down. That means we can have several Bloody Marys following the first three that boot at 11 a.m. (Texas time), and still have space in our livers for a few beers in the mid-afternoon kicks. Let’s just hope our free college football picks on the early games don’t leave us bloodied before the Red River Rivalry.

We can’t help but begin with the matchup between Kansas and Iowa State. Fox Sports North will carry this one to select markets, and the Cyclones are 22½-23-point favorites, depending where you place your wager, the total dropping to 64½-65.

Iowa State just pulled off the biggest upset in school history by taking down Oklahoma in Norman. The Cyclones were 30 point dogs, and the hangover effect is definitely in place here. The Jayhawks, meanwhile, were blown out by Texas Tech. It was their 22nd loss in the last 23 Big 12 games. If you go back 24 clashes, you find Kansas winning in Ames, 34-14, in 2014 as a 2-point underdog. Ain’t going to happen this time, safest bet in Week 7 is Iowa State straight up.

 

Speaking of Texas Tech …

Coming off their easiest game of the schedule so far, the Texas Tech Red Raiders take their ranked status to Morgantown for a game that could wind up deciding who finishes third in the Big 12 and gets the bowl invite that comes with that distinction compared to fourth or fifth place. The betting public is sold on the No. 24 Red Raiders as underdogs, most of SBR’s top sportsbooks initially sending West Virginia out -6½ to -7, that spread all the way down to -3½ now.

The total has also been sliding down, now at 75, which still makes it the second-highest total of Week 7 (Arizona-UCLA is tops). Don’t get me wrong about the total; these two teams deserve a total that high, and the 57 scored in Morgantown two years ago is the lowest result in their six meetings as Big 12 foes. But even for these two teams, the value remains on the ‘under.’

 

Early Action On Frogs at K-State

Here we are in mid-October and Bill Snyder still hasn’t wowed me yet. I love this old dude, who turned 78 this past week, and know I can always count on him to push Kansas State to at least one upset each season. Could it be this week at home against No. 6/7 TCU? Not according to movement on NCAA football odds, the Horned Frogs were first dropped -4½ and are now up to -6½ point chalk. A scoreboard decision is being made on 50 points.

There really aren’t a lot of reasons to play the upset given how the two teams come into the matchup. Though TCU hasn’t exactly manhandled anyone so far, the Frogs have beaten pretty good teams back-to-back at Oklahoma State and home against West Virginia last week. Still, I smell it. This is the week Snyder wows me with the victory.

Free NCAAF Picks: ISU money line (2 units); TTU-WVU Under 75; K-State money lineBest Lines Offered: 5Dimes
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