Early Line Movement Week 9 In College Football

Oregon Ducks

Kevin Stott

Monday, October 23, 2017 5:26 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 23, 2017 5:26 PM GMT

The opening spreads for College Football Week 9 are out and there was some heavy movement in the first four hours of betting, with at least four games moving 5 points or more.

After the odds for NCAA Football Week 9 came out Sunday afternoon, the action was extremely brisk with one Friday and more than two Saturday games seeing 5- or near-5 point moves in the first 2 hours of trading (before 8 pm ET).

Here are some of the bigger early (Side) NCAA Football games for Week 9 games which moved 3 points or more in early trading on Sunday from Point Spread movement (up until 8 pm ET).

NCAAF Early Movers

Thursday, October 26, 2017

Toledo opened at -19½, wereas bet up to 23½ and then all of the way to 26 at time of writing with the early bird Sharps liking the Rockets over slumping Ball State at Home on Thursday night in the first lined game of the NCAAF Week 9 in a Mid-American Conference meeting from Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana. The Trends show the Cardinals are 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. Toledo, however, the Rockets are 3-1 ATS the L4 at Ball State. The Sharps seemed to have this one right with the Site and Ball State’s current fade-worthiness presumably big factors along with Injuries to some very key Offensive Skill players on the Cardinals. This could get ugly early and expect Toledo to approach the 50-point mark.

 

Friday, October 27, 2017

Florida State opened -8 and were bet down 5 points quickly to -3 on heavy Boston College money for their Week 9 ACC game Friday night. Why? The Seminoles still haven’t gotten the butter at the betting windows and the host Eagles have looked pretty good of late, W4 straight ATS upsetting Louisville and Virginia outright as Underdogs the L2 weeks back-to-back. The series Trends favor FSU which has covered 2 straight ATS vs BC, outscoring the Eagles 59-7 but those past Seminoles squads had healthy QBs and with 3 SU Wins in its L4 games, BC (4-4 SU) is now bowl-lieving. Sorry. My bad.

 

Saturday, October 28, 2017

No. 5 Wisconsin opened -23 at Illinois, bet up 3 points to -26. So why? The Badgers line went up for obvious reasons—Timing, Demand and Motivation— with the game and a big Win being of much more importance to the visiting Badgers. The Trends show Wisconsin to be 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings, including a 48-3 pasting of the Fighting Illini at Madison last year. An obvious move, but hard to tell if “smart” although the later money in the week will likely be predominantly Badgers, setting up potential for a Middle on numbers like (Wisconsin minus) 24, 25 and 26.

Florida Atlantic opened -1½ at WKU, wagered up 5 to -6½. Why the move? The Owls of Florida Atlantic would have never been favored in this Sun Belt Conference spot at Bowling Green, Kentucky in any Games of the Year, but linemakers opened FAU as small 1½-point Road Favorites and the sharps immediately bet the visitors up 5 points to 6½ at most Offshore sportsbooks on Sunday night after 3 to 4 hours of opening trading dust settled. So why? Because the Hilltoppers have been playing behind the oddsmakers’ numbers and the Wiseguys must think the Owls (W3 TAS) can win this big conference showdown from Houchens-Smith Stadium on Saturday. Last season, WKU vaporized FAU in Florida, 52-3 but the Owls have done relatively well ATS in this series which will see both sides coming in riding nice little SU Win Streaks.

Oregon opened up 1½-point favorites vs. visiting Utah, heavy Utes money moved spread to Utah -3½ —5 points—in a Favorite-flip. Why? This weekend’s Favorite-flip sees Utah as 3½-point Favorites for their Pac-12 affair against host Oregon and early bettors must have liked the Trends here as well as the opinion they were getting the better team plus a point (or more) with devolving Oregon 1-3 in Pac-12 play and in the midst of a current L3 SU/ATS swoon, albeit to some decent teams (WSU, @STAN, @ UCLA). Also a factor for Oregon-faders, Utah in a Must-Win spot after L3 SU, an Injury to Ducks starting QB Justin Herbert, who has been Out Indefinitely after breaking his Collarbone in a win against Cal on Oct. 1, although Utah (+0.43 apg TO) QB Tyler Huntley threw for 0 TDs a 4 Interceptions in a 30-10 humiliation vs ASU in Week 8 at Home in SLC, losing outright as big 10-point Home chalks.

Other Early NCAAF Week 9 Point Spread Movers

Louisville opened -5½ at Wake Forest, bet down 2½ points to -3

Marshall opened -14½ vs FIU, bet up 3 points to -17

#2 Penn State opened -7 vs. #6 Ohio State, bet down 2 points to -5

North Texas opened -7 vs ODU, bet up 4½ points to -11½

Wyoming opened PK vs New Mexico, bet up 3½ points

#9 Oklahoma opened -21 vs Texas Tech, bet down 3 to -18

#11 USC opened -6 at Arizona State, bet down 3 to -3

San Diego St. opened -11½ at Hawaii, bet down 2½ to -9

 

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