Duke vs. Wake Forest: Low Scoring ACC Matchup 'Under' the College Football Pick

Joe Catalano

Thursday, November 26, 2015 8:05 PM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 26, 2015 8:05 PM GMT

The Duke Blue Devils get the matchup that they want this week as they're looking to add another win to their record to an inferior Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Are they the college football pick?

Kickoff is scheduled for Saturday, November 28th, at 12:30 p.m. EST. The Demon Deacons have home field advantage and can play spoiler as this game will be played at BB&T Field in Winston Salem, North Carolina. According to 5Dimes, the Blue Devils are a slight 4 point betting favorite against the college football odds and the total for the game is 46.

For Duke, it's simple; go out and win the game and they'll be playing in a bowl game with no doubt in anyone's mind. They must not overlook a Demon Deacons team that will be playing on their home field.

 

It Hasn't Been Simple Lately
It might be simple for Duke to beat a 3-8 team, but they started off the season fast and have lost their last 4 games, therefore, this game is far from a given.

In fact, I'd consider it a toss-up. In their last 4 games, the Duke Blue Devils defense has been non-existent, being outscored by a margin of 169-105. For those of us who can do the math, the Blue Devils have been allowing over 40 points per game and that's not going to beat many teams.

 

Thomas Sirk Listed As Probable
Although that's a slight red flag, I wouldn't be worried if I were a Blue Devils fan as he should play in this game. Duke is not a team with a definitive superstar and Sirk is a serviceable quarterback, but the one thing that he does well is run with the football and that's an asset to a Duke team that doesn't have that one superstar that can find the endzone when the game is on the line.

For the season, Sirk has thrown for 2186 yards with 13 TD and 6 INT while leading the Blue Devils in rushing with 593 yards and 7 TD's. Running back, Shaquille Powell, doesn't want to see his career end early, but he must get more touches. He's the 2nd leading rusher on the Duke squad and is quite capable of being effective, but he hasn't been seeing the ball lately. Since his 98 yard output against North Carolina on November 7th, Powell has only rushed the football 9 times for 39 yards and that clearly isn't good enough. Powell is a double threat that can catch out of the backfield, but he definitely needs to see the football more rushing-wise.

 

Max McCaffrey
Another player that doesn't want to see his career end is Duke's leading receiver, Max McCaffrey. McCaffrey isn't a star, but he's a reliable target for Sirk as he's responsible for 43 receptions, 508 yards and 3 TD's. That said, in his last game, McCaffrey was invisible against Virginia.

Bottom line is that Duke is playing an ineffective team and this is a chance to break their losing streak and turn this season into a positive.

 

"Wake" Up!
For Wake Forest, their Achilees Heel has been their offense. Their defense might be able to stop Duke, but this is an offense that averages just 17 points per game and in NCAA College Football, that's not going to win a team a lot of games.

This is just an abysmal offense with 11 touchdowns rushing and 11 touchdowns through the air. Wake Forest quarterback, John Wolford, hasn't thrown a TD pass in 2 games and has just 7 TD's and 9 INT's on the season.

In his last game, he played a powerhouse in Clemson and managed just 91 yards passing. Wolford is a below average quarterback and if Kendall Hinton (7 TD's rushing) or K.J. Brent (550 yards receiving) doesn't break out with a big game, Duke will break their losing streak and find their way into a bowl game through the back door.

I don't trust either of these teams and I'm going to lean towards the under the total in this game. It's a bit low, but Wake Forest has nothing to offer offensively and will make Duke grind out a win. Make the UNDER your college football pick.

College Football Pick: Under 46 at 5Dimes

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