Down to the Wire College Football Picks: Lock Gators +9.5 vs. LSU

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, October 14, 2015 5:13 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2015 5:13 PM UTC

We’re going to examine Saturday’s huge SEC game between Florida & LSU. Which one of these teams will stay undefeated after this contest goes final? Go inside to get that answer and a free pick.

Battle of Undefeated SEC Teams
A couple of undefeated nationally ranked teams clash on Saturday when #6 LSU (5-0) hosts #8 Florida (6-0). The opening kickoff at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge is slated for 7:00 PM ET, and the game will be aired by ESPN. Current (10/13) college football odds on this contest are a bit erratic in nature, evidenced by LSU being anywhere from a 7.0 to 9.5 point favorite. LSU has won their previous two meetings against Florida, including a 30-27 win in Gainesville last season.


Gators Quarterback Soap Opera
Sophomore Treon Harris will be thrust into the starting quarterback role for Florida on Saturday. The move came about as a result of redshirt freshmen Will Grier being suspended for one year on Monday after failing a random drug test for the use of a performance enhancing drug. The timing of such an occurrence was certainly ill advised by Grier since he was coming off his two best performances of the season, and the magnitude of Florida’s upcoming game at LSU. However, it’s not like Harris is totally inexperienced. Harris was the opening game starter before losing the job to Grier. He was also suspended one game earlier this season for an undisclosed violation of team rules. Harris also started Florida’s final six games a season ago. The Gators went 4-2 in those contest, Harris threw for 1019 yards and 9 touchdowns while be intercepted 4 times. Harris is a bit more mobile than Grier, evidenced by 401 career rushing yards, and he’s also run for 3 touchdowns.


The Leonard Fournette Factor
If you follow college football even on a casual basis, and you haven’t been living in a cave somewhere in Afghanistan, then you have to be aware of LSU running back Leonard Fournette. The 2015 Heisman Trophy front runner has rushed for 1022 yards, averaged 8.6 yards per carry, and ran for 12 touchdowns in the Tigers first five games. This will undoubtedly be the toughest defense that he’s faced this season, and with a below average passing game, Fournette is going to need one of his vintage 200 yard plus rushing efforts for LSU to be in a position of strength offensively.


Gators Defense Must Remain Stout
The Florida defense will have the unenviable task of attempting to neutralize Leonard Fournette. Make no mistake about it this is an excellent defensive football team, and certainly capable of doing so. If they can keep the Tigers behind the chains on early downs especially, they’ll certainly have at least a foundation for success. I fully expect the Florida defense to dare LSU to throw the ball by stacking the box. After all, the Tigers are averaging just 122 yards passing per game.


Final Analysis
I just think that Florida has enough juice to stay with LSU right down to the wire. I wouldn’t be shocked to see an outright upset in this game, but we’ll take the points as an additional bonus for one of my college football picks.

College Football Pick: Play on Florida +9.5 (-105) at Heritage.

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