Dissecting Significant Week-2 CFB Lines Moves and an Early Look at Week-3

Kevin Stott

Monday, September 11, 2017 1:05 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 11, 2017 1:05 PM UTC

College Football Underdogs had a very profitable weekend at sportsbooks, going 42-28-1 ATS despite Favorites winning SU 55 times in those 71 lined games in Week 2, with Unders also providing profits for Totals backers, hitting at a crazy 67.6% (48-23).

Underdogs 60% ATS Despite the Favorites’ 55-16 SU Record in College Football Week 2

Mamas’ Don’t Let Your Babies Grow Up to Be Sports Gamblers... After the dust settled from College Football Week 2 this past weekend, it turned out to be an extremely good session for SU Favorites (55-16, 67.9%), the Home Team (46-25, 64.8%), ATS Underdogs (42-28-1, 60%), Road Teams ATS (48-22-1, 67.6%) as well as the Under (48-23, 67.6%) with the biggest upset and result which may ultimately have an impact down the road in the chase to get into the 2018 CFP Semifinals (Rose Bowl, Sugar Bowl this rotation) on New Year’s Day coming when (now) #8 Ohio State fell to Heisman Trophy candidate QB Baker Mayfield (25/33, 386 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs) and #2 Oklahoma at The Horseshoe in Columbus on Saturday night, 31-16 in a Big Ten Power Five humbling from the Big 12.

Head Coach Dabo Swinney (59-48-1 ATS) and defending FBS national champions and #3 Clemson (37/1 to win CFP National Championship, BetDSI)—now a spotless 18-0 SU in its L18 games before November since 2015—defeated #15 Auburn, 14-6 between the sacred hedges at Death Valley on Saturday, handing the SEC’s Tigers (25/1 to win CFP National Championship, 5Dimes) a tough early season Loss in another game that may matter in the end with QB Kelly Bryant looking good again a second straight week despite suffering an injury scare in the First Half.


Some games with significant movement from Open to Close and their results: EKU (57.8% Consensus action) was bet from +40 down to +33 and all that was winning money with the FCS side covering ATS in a 27-16 Bluegrass State loss at FBS and SEC school Kentucky...WV (69% Consensus) was wagered up from 19½ to as high as 26 (Bovada) and the Mountaineers got their backers the butter, covering easily in a 56-20 romp...#17 Louisville was bet from 6 up to (minus) 12 as North Carolina and somebody somewhere almost may have hit a Middle here with the Cardinals winning by 12 points, 47-35...Wake Forest was backed at the betting windows and went off as a PK after Boston College opened up 3-point chalks and the Demon Deacons money was smart money, as Wake won 34-10...#14 Stanford was bet heavily over #6 USC with the number moving from 10 all the way down to as low as 3½ (JustBet), but it didn’t matter in the end as the Trojans got the money, rolling to a 42-24 Pac-12 win over the Cardinal.


Also, Ball State (43.3%) saw its line move from 7 to as high as 14 (BetDSI) and all that Cardinals money ended up being smart money with Letterman U rolling UAB in Muncie, 51-31...Temple went from 9½- to big b17-point Favorites over Villanova and none of it was smart money, with FCS heavyweight Villanova covering in a 16-13 loss in their shared city of Brotherly Love...Rutgers (63.85) opened at PK -115 and went to -6 but Eastern Michigan won outright, also by the score of 16-13, meaning this may be a long season for the Scarlet Knights who actually looked fairly decent vs. Washington in Week 1...there was a load of action on MWC side Wyoming (63.9%) with the spread going from 29½ to 38½ but Cowboys backers were never covering ATS in a 27-0 win over Gardner Webb in Laramie...Oregon went from -6 to as high as 10½ (Bovada) and won by 7 (42-35) over Nebraska, so sour Ducks backers unless you laid 6 at Open...host New Mexico went from 12 down to 7 on heavy New Mexico State action and that proved to be smart money with the Aggies winning outright in Albuquerque, 30-28 (NMS +238 Moneyline, Pinnacle).

Here are all of your opening Point Spreads from Offshore operator BookMaker for College Football Week 3 along with where the numbers were around an hour after open after some extremely brisk Sharp betting action late on Sunday afternoon, per usual. Opening lines from BetOnline, BookMaker, BetDSI, 5Dimes, Heritage and others can be found around 6 pm ET (3 pm PT) every Sunday at SBR.odds.com.



NCAA Football Odds Week 3—(September 10, 7 pm ET, BookMaker)

Thursday, September 14, 2017

BOISE STATE -15 New Mexico (Open -15½)


Friday, September 15, 2017

TEMPLE -12 Massachusetts (Open -14)

SOUTH FLORIDA -17 Illinois (Open -16½)

Arizona -21 UTEP (Open -21)



Saturday, September 16, 2017

SOUTH CAROLINA -6 Kentucky (Open -7½)

MARSHALL -13 Kent State (Open -10½ -115)

Notre Dame -15½ BOSTON COLLEGE (Open -11½)

VIRGINIA -8½ Connecticut (Open -11½)

MICHIGAN -26 Air Force (Open -26)

Coastal Carolina -2 UAB (Open -1½)

Cincinnati -4 MIAMI (Ohio) (Open -4)

PENN STATE -38½ Georgia State (Open -38½)

Iowa State -9 AKRON (Open -7½)

North Carolina OFF OLD DOMINION (Open -7½ BoL)

Oklahoma State -13½ PITTSBURGH (Open -10)

MINNESOTA -7 Middle Tennessee State (Open -8½)

INDIANA -24½ Florida International (Open -24)

Ucla -3½ -105 MEMPHIS (Open -4½)

NEBRASKA -14 Northern Illinois (Open -15½)

Baylor -13 DUKE (Open -14)

OHIO -9 Kansas (Open -10½)

WAKE FOREST -13½ Utah State (Open -13½)
Clemson -3½ LOUISVILLE (Open -2½)

SYRACUSE -10½ Central Michigan (Open -10½)

Virginia Tech -22 EAST CAROLINA (Open -22)

Wisconsin -13 BYU (Open -13)

MISSOURI -7½ Purdue (Open -7)

IOWA -24 North Texas (Open -24)

TEXAS A&M -23½ UL Lafayette (Open -23)

NORTHWESTERN -22 Bowling Green (Open -23)

OKLAHOMA -34 Tulane (Open -34)

FLORIDA -6 Tennessee (Open -5)

TCU -18½ Smu (Open -17)

WESTERN KENTUCKY -7 Louisiana Tech (Open -7)
OHIO STATE -29½ Army (Open -29½)

WASHINGTON STATE -19 Oregon State (Open -15½)

Appalachian State -24 TEXAS STATE (Open -23)

ALABAMA -28½ Colorado State (Open -27)

TOLEDO -8½ Tulsa (Open -9½)

WESTERN MICHIGAN -16½ Idaho (Open -17)

Southern Miss -6½ UL MONROE (Open -6½)

Oregon -14½ WYOMING (Open -14)

Lsu -6½ MISSISSIPPI STATE (Open -6½)

CENTRAL FLORIDA (Irma?) Georgia Tech

Kansas State -3 -105 VANDERBILT (Open -3½)

HOUSTON -24 Rice (Open -24)

FLORIDA STATE PPD (Irma) Miami Florida

NEW MEXICO STATE -6 Troy (Open -5½)

TEXAS TECH -6½ -115 Arizona State (Open -6)

USC -17 Texas (Open -14)

UTAH -26 San José State (Open -26)

WASHINGTON -33 Fresno State (Open -33)

Mississippi -3½ CALIFORNIA (Open -3½)

Stanford -9 SAN DIEGO STATE (Open -7½)


HOME TEAMS in CAPS ( -110 vigorish unless noted)

 Click here for current Offshore NCAAF Week 3 sportsbook odds from SBRodds.com


FBS-FCS Week 3 Added Games Schedule

(Odds out later in week)


WEST VIRGINIA vs. Delaware State

NC STATE vs. Furman

COLORADO vs. Northern Colorado

BALL STATE vs. Tennessee Tech

RUTGERS vs. Morgan State

AUBURN vs. Mercer

CHARLOTTE vs. North Carolina A&T

BUFFALO vs. Colgate

FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. Bethune Cookman

UTSA vs. Southern

NEVADA vs. Idaho State

ARKANSAS STATE vs. Arkansas Pine Bluff


GEORGIA vs. Samford



NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 EARLY LINE PICKS: Iowa State -8, Clemson -3, Bowling Green +22 -104 (Heritage), Virginia Tech -21½ -115, Fresno State +33½ (BetOnline), Kansas State -3 -105 (BookMaker)

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