Triple Pack Of Total Predictions For Wednesday’s Bowl Games

Sunday, December 23, 2018 8:24 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 23, 2018 8:24 PM UTC

Get the latest college football picks on the December 26 games: the First Responder Bowl between Boston College and Boise State, the Quick Lane Bowl between Minnesota and Georgia Tech, and the Cheez-It Bowl between California and TCU. Bet confidently with tips from

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Live Game Odds">First Responder Bowl:</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Live Game Odds">Boston Coll. (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS, 5-6 O/U) vs. Boise St. (10-3 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, 5-8 O/U)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Wednesday, Dec. 26, 1:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Cotton Bowl Stadium, Dallas</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: Under</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690912, "sportsbooksIds":[169,238,1096,999996], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>The "under" has hit in nine of the teams’ last 10 games. Boston College has struggled to score because its star player, running back A.J. Dillon, has been held in check. The "under" is 4-1 when BC runs for fewer than 150 yards. The Eagles need to run with the 27th-highest frequency because its quarterback, Anthony Brown, is inefficient. He completes only 55 percent of his passes. Boise State can hold Dillon in check with its strong run defense. Teams pass on Boise State with high frequency because they want to avoid a BSU front seven that boasts two First-Team All-Conference selections in defensive linemen Curtis Weaver and Jabril Frazier. BSU’s D-line ranks highly in stopping the run, ranking, for instance, 21st in opportunity rate, meaning it excels at preventing opposing rush attacks from gaining at least four yards. Boise State ranks 30th in allowing 3.6 YPC.</p><p>Boise State loves to possess the ball. It ranks 12th in time of possession, which makes it very difficult for an "over" to hit because opposing offenses get limited drives with which to score more points. BSU ranks third in third-down conversion percentage. It can sustain drives because it enjoys a balanced offense that can pass and run well, and opponents never know whether to expect a run or a pass. Boston College has allowed two of its last three opponents (Florida State and Syracuse) to possess the ball for more than 35 minutes because it struggled with stopping their balanced attack. Quarterback Brett Rypien completes 67 percent of his passes and running back Alexander Mattison averages 4.7 YPC. The fascinating thing about Boise State’s offense is that it is efficient but struggles to convert drives into touchdowns. Its red-zone offense only ranks 70th, and BC has a well-tested red-zone defense that ranks 35th. Boise State will execute long drives, but not turn them into too many touchdowns.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Bo's Blog: Old School power &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@BCFootball&lt;/a&gt; faces New School pioneers &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@BroncoSportsFB&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— First Responder Bowl (@FRBowl) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;December 23, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Live Game Odds">Quick Lane Bowl:</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Live Game Odds">Minnesota (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS, 6-6 O/U) vs. Georgia Tech (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS, 8-3 O/U)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Wednesday, Dec. 26, 5:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Ford Field, Detroit</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: Over</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690913, "sportsbooksIds":[169,238,1096,999996], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>It may seem counterintuitive to want to bet an "over" with an option team like Georgia Tech that ranks fifth in time of possession and doesn’t generate explosive plays. But consider that <a href="" title="Live NCAAF Odds Board">the "over" is 8-3 in Georgia Tech games</a>. The Jackets average 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 31st. They can methodically move the ball downfield with a very physical offensive line that ranks fifth in opportunity rate and fourth in stuff rate, meaning their offense rarely moves backwards. Minnesota has already faced two offensive lines that likewise rank very highly in opportunity rate. Illinois and Nebraska each ran for more than 380 yards and exceeded 50 points. These teams are built to exploit Minny’s weakness on defense. The Gophers rank 114th in opposing YPC. Paul Johnson’s Jackets will give him a memorable send-off.</p><p>The Jackets’ defense is vulnerable, ranking 82nd in opposing YPC and 99th in opposing passer rating. Minnesota freshman running back Mohamed Ibrahim is heating up with four straight 90+-yard rushing games, accruing more than 120 yards against Purdue and Wisconsin, whose respective defensive lines rank statistically around where Georgia Tech’s does with an easier strength of schedule. The Jackets’ pass defense looks better than it does because its offense controls so much time of possession. It still finds time to rank 66th in opposing yards per game. Minnesota wide receiver Tyler Johnson is elite. He has 74 receptions and 1,110 yards. Georgia Tech’s defense has mostly gotten a break from facing the ACC’s top wide receivers. It did face Virginia’s Olamide Zaccheaus, who accounted for nearly half of his quarterback’s yardage and completions and had his third-best game of conference play against the Jackets.</p><p> </p><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Live Game Odds">Cheez-It Bowl:</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Live Game Odds">TCU (6-6 SU, 4-8 ATS, 5-6 O/U) vs. California (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, 3-9 O/U)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Wednesday, Dec. 26, 9 p.m. ET (ESPN)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Chase Field, Phoenix</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: Over</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690914, "sportsbooksIds":[169,238,1096,999996], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Considering what these two offenses did in the regular season, betting the "over" might seem masochistic. But consider that TCU has allowed more than 30 points in its last three bowl games. In the last two years, it allowed its opponent to score a touchdown more than its season average. TCU’s defense is not alone in underachieving during bowl season. Last year, the "over" was 10-1 in games when the total was under 50 points. The one exception was in the playoffs, where Alabama dominated Clemson. So far, this trend is 2-2. Georgia Southern and Eastern Michigan barely stayed "under" in a game where Georgia Southern ran 58 times and allowed Eastern Michigan to run only 50 plays. The other "under" came between Ohio and San Diego State. The Aztecs could hardly throw the ball and they were a complete no-show.</p><p>Neither Cal nor TCU likes to kill clock the way Georgia Southern does, and both have serviceable quarterbacks. Cal’s offense matches up well with TCU because it has a power-based attack with running back Patrick Laird. <a href="" title="Free NCAAF Picks">He will have a big day</a> against a TCU defense that is built to limit the pass-happy spread offenses of the Big 12. Cal’s biggest help, though, will come from its defense. When Cal scored 33 against Colorado, the Buffaloes turned it over five times. TCU ranks 114th in giveaways and will allow Cal to enjoy great field position. TCU can score because it’s creative in the way it involves star Jalen Reagor in its offense. The electric speedster ran for an 83-yard touchdown in TCU’s season finale and he has more than 1,000 receiving yards.</p>
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