College Football Week 6 Predictions: Pair Of Saturday Night Totals

Alabama Crimson Tide players in action

Saturday, October 8, 2016 6:24 PM GMT

Our handicapping professional shares his top 2 totals on Saturday night’s card to get you NCAAF week 6 picks ready. Go inside to read this compelling betting article, and find out why he’s opted to personally wager on these games.

 

Northern Illinois vs. Western Michigan 

Northern Illinois head coach Rod Carey named freshmen Anthony Maddie as his new starting quarterback last week. That decision paid huge dividends during a 34-27 Huskies win over Ball State. Maddie’s starting collegiate debut was a spectacular one. He was 26-41 for 298 yards in the air, and tossed 2 touchdown passes. Additionally, Maddie ran the ball 14 times for 160 yards and a touchdown. He was a much needed spark. Especially so for an offense that’s been stuck in neutral since senior quarterback Drew Hare was sidelined by an injury in early September.

Western Michigan enters Saturday’s game averaging 44.8 points scored per game. The Broncos have seen each of their first 2 home games go over the total, and there was a combined 85.5 points scored per contest.

If you’re looking for one specific reason why Western Michigan is 5-0 SU&ATS to start the season, it’s abundantly clear that ball security has been a major contributor. The Broncos have yet to commit a turnover in 2016.

Current college football odds at 5Dimes has a total of 66.5 on this contest. 5Dimes is widely recognized as one of the best sportsbooks in all aspects of business.

Any team (Western Michigan) with a total of 63.5 to 70.0, committing 0.75 or less turnovers per game, and is coming off a contest where they didn’t turn the ball over, resulted in those games going 28-5 (84.8%) over the total since 2007. There was a combined average of 77.7 points scored per contest. A superb betting angle such as this, clinched my decision to use this game for of my college football week 6 picks.

 

Free NCAAF Pick: Over 66.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Alabama has allowed 10 points or less in 4 of its first 5 games. The Crimson Tide has seen their last 2 games against Arkansas both go under the total, and there was just a combined 34.0 points scored per contest. Alabama is coming off a 34-6 home win over Kentucky last Saturday.  

Arkansas has seen each of their first 3 home games go under the total, and they allowed a paltry 11.0 points per contest. The Razorbacks have averaged an enormous 34:25 to 25:35 time of possession advantage in 2016. As the old adage goes, sometimes a team’s best defense is an offense that dominates time of possession.

The college football spreads and totals at Intertops.com presently shows a total of 48.5 on this contest. Intertops.com is now offering a generous $200 signup bonuses. It’s worth noting, since 2014, Arkansas has gone under in all 6 of their games when there’s been a total of 42.5 to 49.0.

Any team (Alabama) with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 in October, and is coming off a home win by 28 points or more, resulted in those games going 53-19 (73.6%) under the total since 2007. The average total in those contests was 46.2, and there were a combined 39.2 points scored per game.

 

Free NCAAF Pick: Under 48.5
Best Line Offered:  at Intertops
ATS Record: 10-1 ATS

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