College Football Week 5 Picks - Top Value Across The Board

Florida State Seminoles players

Saturday, October 1, 2016 2:22 PM GMT

The college football odds makers have a full slate on their plates and below we explore the sharpest sides on the board. Let's go cash those winners with some NCAAF picks!

 

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles

The Seminoles return to Tallahassee after getting thunderstruck in Louisville by the upstart Cardinals and then rebounded with a convincing 55-35  victory over South Florida last week. The college football odds makers opened this number up at FSU -12 but that has fallen slightly to -10 ½ as of this Saturday morning writing. We are going to wait to see if we can get Florida State at 10 or below but if we have to buy the hook to get there we will.

FSU's offense will dismantle the Tar Heels this afternoon and their defense will shut down the run cold. If North Carolina can't run, that spells trouble. The Noles are in a perfect spot as they will be playing in front of a raucous home crowd that will overwhelm a decent, though far from elite, NC squad. Here are some stats to chew on:

FSU is 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game

FSU is 6-0 ATS in their last six games on grass

FSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games

FSU is 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win

 

Free College Football Pick: FSU -10 (-115) 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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Kansas State Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers  

This Big 12 matchup features a Kansas State squad that has crushed its last two opponents by a combined score of 98-7. Of course those schools happened to be of the Division 1-AA variety but nonetheless the Wildcats did what they were supposed to do and simply rolled.

Meanwhile, the Mountaineers are a perfect 3-0 but struggled to get by BYU last week as nine-point favorites when they eked out a 35-32 victory. The Kansas State defense will give West Virginia fits and the Wildcats offense is capable enough to drop points on a defense that has allowed more points in each of their first three games. We will grab the points and include K State in our college football week 5 picks.

Free College Football Pick: Kansas State +3 (-120) 
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina State Wolfpack 

Unfortunately much of the value has been diminished since this line opened at NC State -8 ½ to where it now sits, which is as high as -13 in some offshore sportsbooks. But as long as we are laying less than two touchdowns, there is still plenty of reason to believe the Wolfpack will cover this one handily.

North Carolina State has had two weeks to prepare for this one and are 4-1 ATS over the past three seasons when playing off two weeks rest. Over the past 12 contests played at NC State between these two schools the Wolfpack holds a commanding 11-1 straight up and 9-3 ATS edge. Lay it and like it.

Free College Football Pick: NC State -11 ½ 
Best Line Offered: at Bovada , now offering 100% cash bonus 


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