College Football Week 4 is done and buried, so what better time than now to do an autopsy as the opening NCAA Week 5 point spreads hit the betting board from BetOnline?
It was a fairly drama-free College Football Week 4 with CFP Championship candidates #3 Oklahoma, #4 Penn State, #5 USC and #8 Michigan all needing strong 2nd Halves to get by #17 Baylor, Iowa, Cal and Purdue, respectively, in conference play amongst the Power Five. Mason Rudolph and #6 Oklahoma State easily suffered the weekend’s biggest setback, losing to #17 TCU in Stillwater on Saturday (+9½, +290 M/L, Heritage), 44-31, making the Cowboys' potential path to a New Year’s Eve Playoff semifinal game a Big 12 minefield from hell with a schedule featuring Baylor, Texas, West Virginia, Oklahoma, Iowa State and Kansas State on the immediate horizon, almost assuring impending doom and talk about what could have been. No. 12 Florida State was also dealt a loss by NC State, 27-21 (FSU -11, NC State +350 M/L, BetDSI) which will likely end any big dreams, but the reality is that when Seminoles QB Deondre Francois went down with an injury against #1 Alabama in the opener, that ACC school suddenly faced an uphill climb like no other.
Favorites went 44-14 SU (152-42 L3 weeks) while ATS Underdogs went 33-25 in Week 4 (56.9%). In the Totals marketplace, the Under was again the profitable choice, going 32-26. Home Teams in FBS were a dead-even 29-29 SU but a horrific 22-36 ATS at the betting windows with Road teams again covering ATS at a profitable rate (62%) in College Football after going 38-25-2 (60.3%) in Week 3 and 48-22-1 (67.6%) in Week 2.
Here are all of your opening Point Spreads from sportsbook BetOnline for College Football Week 5 along with fresh numbers from just minutes after that early movement triggered by Sharp betting action on Sunday afternoon. During the Football season, all of your Opening lines can be found here at SBR.odds.com around 5 pm ET (2 pm PT) late Sunday afternoons.
BetOnline Week 5 Odds
Texas -4 IOWA STATE (Open -6 -105)
Miami (Florida) -6 DUKE (Open -6)
Nebraska -6½ ILLINOIS (Open -9½)
Brigham Young -5 UTAH STATE (Open -4 -115)
Southern Cal -4½ WASHINGTON STATE (Open -6)
WISCONSIN -14½ Northwestern (Open -16½)
PITTSBURGH -22 Rice (Open -23 -105)
FLORIDA - 10½ -120 Vanderbilt (Open -9½ -105)
South Florida -26 EAST CAROLINA (Open -23½)
MINNESOTA -12½ -105 Maryland (Open -9½ -115)
Houston -13½ -115 TEMPLE (Open -12½ -115)
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL - 11 Charlotte (Open -10)
GEORGIA TECH -9½ North Carolina (Open -6½ -115)
ARKANSAS -17 -115 New Mexico State (Open -20)
NC STATE -12½ -115 Syracuse (Open -13)
BOSTON COLLEGE -7½ -115 Central Michigan (Open -7½ Even)
Georgia -7 TENNESSEE (Open -6½ -115)
Ohio No Line MASSACHUSETTS
PENN STATE -17½ Indiana (Open -18)
ARMY -24 -115 Utep (Open -23½)
KANSAS STATE -13½ Baylor (Open -13)
Florida State -7 WAKE FOREST (Open -7½)
Buffalo -7 -105 KENT STATE (Open -4½ -115)
Navy -3 TULSA (Open -2½ -115)
LOUISVILLE No Line Murray State
SMU -21½ -105 Connecticut (Open -19½ -115)
STANFORD -16½ Arizona State (Open -16½)
KENTUCKY -14 Eastern Michigan (Open -15)
MICHIGAN STATE -3 -107 Iowa (Open -3 -115)
WYOMING -17 -105 Texas State (Open -17½)
NOTRE DAME -23 Miami (Ohio) (Open -20½ -105)
BOWLING GREEN 1½ -120 Akron (Open AKR -2½)
AUBURN -9 Mississippi State (Open -9½)
CINCINNATI -4½ Marshall (Open -5)
Middle Tennessee State No Line FAU
SOUTHERN MISS -9 North Texas (Open -10)
WESTERN MICHIGAN - Ball State (Open PK, 5Dimes)
NEW MEXICO PK -115 Air Force (Open AFA-1 -105)
UL MONROE -11 Coastal Carolina (Open -9)
CENTRAL FLORIDA -3 -105 Memphis (Open -3 -105)
LOUISIANA TECH -15 -105 South Alabama (Open -13½)
LSU -19½ Troy (Open -21)
Ohio State -28½ RUTGERS (Open -27½-115)
TEXAS A&M -8 South Carolina (Open -11 -115)
Oklahoma State -11 TEXAS TECH (Open -11 -115)
Washington -27½ OREGON STATE (Open -27)
Clemson -6 -105 VIRGINIA TECH (Open -7 -115)
ALABAMA -28 Ole Miss (Open -27)
FRESNO STATE -9½ -115 Nevada (Open -9)
UCLA -5½ Colorado (Open -6 -105)
OREGON -15 California (Open -14½ -115)
UNLV -10½ -105 San José State (Open -9½ -115)
SAN DIEGO STATE -12 Northern Illinois (Open -12)
Colorado State -7½ HAWAII (Open -7½ -105)
Autopsy: Sharps Spot On Backing Utah State at Post Last Week
The Wiseguys definitely lived up to their name in the Utah State-San José State game in Week 4 with the Sharps straightening out what proved to be a bad betting line at Open last Sunday (Week 4), which saw the Spartans posted as 2½-point Favorites before quick and early money made the Aggies the rightful (and 3-point) favorites minutes later Offshore.
Utah State blasted San José State, 61-7, in a game which saw the line close at 1½ and 2 in most shops, meaning there was some late (and losing) money on the hosts. But even being the first in line and having Utah State +2½ in your pocket and knowing the linemakers got one wrong seems worth more than the eventual 11/10 payout when seeing that Final Score here.
Some Week 4 games which saw decent line movement and the results: West Virginia opened up as 16-point Favorites and were bet all the way up to 24½ in some sportsbooks (JustBet), and this was a game where a middle could be attained with the Mountaineers winning by 22 points (56-34) meaning if you bought early and laid the lumber and then went back and took the points from 23 up, you won both sides.
Another middle possibility came Saturday in the #19 Louisville-Kent State game where the line opened at Louisville minus-37 (BetOnline) and closed as high as 42 (JustBet), with 2016 Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson and the Cardinals winning by 41 (44-3). ... Navy opened at -11 and was bet down to as low as 7½ (Heritage) on heavy Cincinnati money and with the Midshipmen winning 42-32 at Annapolis on Saturday, yet another middle was possible although probably extremely rare with only those taking (Cincinnati and) the 11 at Open and then coming back and backing Navy from -9½ to -7½ having that golden opportunity.
No. 8 Michigan opened at -8 and closed at -13½ almost everywhere against Purdue at West Lafayette in a Big Ten tilt on Saturday and with the Wolverines rallying in the 2nd Half (21-0) to a 28-10 win, all of the Michigan money ended up being winning money while all of those promising Boilermakers tickets (and most Teasers) ended up in the trash can with its new neighbors the coffee grinds, cat food cans and junk mail. ... No. 18 Washington opened at 24, was wagered up as high as 28½ and in the end, it was another chance for a middle for somebody, somewhere, as the Huskies won by 27 points, 37-10 at Folsom Field in Boulder in Pac-12 play.
Troy opened as 13½-point chalk and an influx of Trojans money drove the Point Spread as high as 17, and it never mattered with the Zips covering the entire way -- Troy led 13-3 at Halftime -- in a 22-17 victory. .... No. 22 San Diego State probably had the most dramatic line movement in its game with extremely heavy Air Force action through the week and up until kickoff moving the line as far as Air Force -1 in some sportsbooks (BetOnline, JustBet), creating another, in this case, massive middle opportunity for those taking the 7, 6 and/or 5 with the Falcons early and then buying back on the Aztecs later anywhere from (SDS) -3 to +1, with SDS winning, 28-24 at Falcon Stadium at Air Force Academy.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 EARLY PICKS: Iowa State +4, Utah State +5, South Florida -26, Wake Forest +7, Central Florida -3 -105 (BetOnline)