College Football Week 15 Picks: Kansas State vs. Baylor

Jeff Grant

Monday, December 1, 2014 8:09 PM GMT

Monday, Dec. 1, 2014 8:09 PM GMT

Bryce Petty’s head injury clouds the betting market between Baylor and Kansas State, but there’s some key factors to look at in determining a College Football pick Saturday.

A Capable Opponent
Kansas State isn’t going to lay down in this Big 12 Conference matchup under legendary head coach Bill Snyder, which is important to consider when making your College Football picks, as the team lands in a double-revenge spot.

The Wildcats have enjoyed a 7-1 SUATS run over their last eight contests, while sports bettors will want to keep an eye on the halftime score, as they’ve captured their last 47 contests when holding a lead at the break.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 9-4 SU and 8-4-1 ATS on the road since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, with the UNDER going 7-6 in those 13 opportunities.

 

Consistency
Baylor has scored at least one touchdown in 39 of 44 quarters in putting together a 10-1 SU and 6-4-1 ATS record through 11 games, which can’t be ignored when looking over the College Football odds, as the team has a chance of landing one of four spots in the inaugural college football playoff.

The Bears were able to hold onto a 48-46 victory over Texas Tech as 26.5-point neutral-site favorites last week despite losing Heisman Trophy candidate Bryce Petty to a mild concussion in the third quarter, but Seth Russell stepped in to complete 8 of 17 passes for 82 yards and a touchdown.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is a dominating 17-1 SU and 14-4 ATS at home, but this is the first season its hosting foes at McLane Stadium in Waco.

 

Hot Water(s)
The Wildcats have one of the more balanced offenses in the country, with signal-caller Jake Waters going over the 200-yard passing mark in his last 12 games dating back to last season, which is the longest such streak of its kind under Snyder.

Kansas State has thrown for its third-highest total in school history to this point, while it ranks 10th in terms of total offensive yardage for the season at 4,709.

 

Starting Fast
The Bears have been known to start fast under seventh-year head coach Art Briles, which is demonstrated in their 168-56 scoring margin in the opening quarter this season.

Baylor has also managed to put together a plus-nine turnover margin in its last five contests, as it attempts to win its 21st consecutive game when playing in the state of Texas.

 

Outlook
Readers certainly need to monitor Petty’s status throughout the week, as he’s the biggest reason why the Bears have outscored foes by a dominating 548-263 margin this year.

I’ve developed a handicapper line favoring Baylor by 13.5 points if he lands under center, which means the favorite is playable up to 13 in the market, while Kansas State is worth a look at 14 or higher.

Free College Football Pick: Baylor Bears -13.5

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