College Football Top Totals Plays For Week 4

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, September 20, 2017 7:16 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 20, 2017 7:16 PM UTC

As I have stated previously, I am not a big totals player in college football, mostly in part because figuring the out the regular spread picks takes up the vast majority of my time.

But that does not mean I do not bet them, it is just I rely more on systems that win better than 80% of the time to help me formulate decisions.

That was the case last week in me taking Oregon and Wyoming OVER for a winner against the college football odds and I will share with more of these now.


UNLV and Ohio State Buzz By Oddsmakers Totals

Last week in Columbus, Ohio State ended up being an easy Under play with 38-7 thumping of Army. I don't see that happening versus UNLV this week. The Buckeyes were no doubt displeased with Oklahoma result and facing a team like the Black Knights that runs the option attack does not exactly get the juices flowing and besides, that style play keeps the clock moving. This week, UNLV is more wide open, which should be to Ohio State's liking. With the total hovering around 64-point range, I have a system that states teams committing fewer than one turnover a game, and did not turn the ball over in previous contest, with a totals range of 63.5 to 70 points, are 22-3 OVER. (Bonus: South Florida also fits this Thursday night)

Free Football Pick: Play OverBest Line Offered: at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187580, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,93,123,169], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]


Add Up the Digits in I-10 Rivalry

Because UTEP and New Mexico State have been lousy football teams for years, anyone not from around those parts does not know this is rivalry and this has gone on for 101 years. (No kidding, right!) They are connected by the I-10 interstate, which makes travel easier than the first several games. New Mexico State has the No. 8 passing attack in the country at better than 376 yards a game and UTEP cannot stop anybody in permitting 50 PPG. The Aggies defense is hardly outstanding in conceding 30.7 PPG. I like the OVER 60 points for college football picks with system backing bad offenses like UTEP versus defenses that give up a lot of yards like New Mexico State and this produces 25-5 OVER record.

Free Football Pick: Play OverBest Line Offered: at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187697, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,93,123,169], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]


No System, Just See Value in Line Movement

There actually was a few games I thought the total made sense, however, all but one had a line moves with adjustments of four to five points working against what I was thinking about, which diminished the value. One that did go my way was Washington at Colorado. The total slid from 53 to 50. Last year's Pac-12 title game landed on 51 (which was Under). In breaking this down, both defenses have forced seven turnovers in three contests and because of have been better at passing than running, I can see each taking advantage of any miscues and scoring. If we assume the Huskies being 10.5 point favorite is fairly accurate, I like Washington 33-21 and will back the OVER.

Free Football Pick: Play OverBest Line Offered: at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187910, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,1275,169,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here