College Football Recap: Week 8 Numbers Recap

Notre Dame

Jay Pryce

Sunday, October 22, 2017 5:43 PM GMT

Sunday, Oct. 22, 2017 5:43 PM GMT

Finally, college football bettors were forced to sweat some overtime games in Week 8. Read about what we mean here, and gain insight into other notable trends, achievements, and factoids from the betting market in this action recap.

Did something feel off to you headed into Week 8 of the 2017 college football season? We got the answer after Saturday. It was the lack of games going into overtime. Eight contests stretched into extra minutes this weekend. Prior, it was just six games all year, the fewest through the first two months since 1996. In the last decade, including the bowl season, roughly 39 games go into overtime annually.

Here’s another oddball stat from Saturday: five of the eight overtime games finished under the betting total. Since the NCAA changed to its current one-possession-per-period format in 1996, 66.1 percent of contests go over the total. The Oklahoma State-Texas matchup, which closed with an over/under of 64.5, finished 13-10 after one period of extra time with a Cowboys victory. It’s the lowest over/under margin (-41.5) in an overtime contest ever in this span.

 

Week 8 Betting Trends

Number of outright underdog winners: 13.

Average line among underdog winners: +5.7 (Depending on the book, it was the first time since Week 8 in 2015 no pups won outright spotted double digits.)

Favorites went 27-28-1 ATS

Home teams went 33-22-1 ATS

‘Unders’ went 28-25-3. Theay are 287-223-11 on the season.

Georgia Tech (6-0), Fresno State (7-0), and Central Florida (6-0) are the only FBS teams with a perfect ATS record in 2017. Tennessee (0-7), Kansas (0-6), Georgia Southern (0-5-1), Florida State (0-5-1) and BYU (0-8) have yet to cover.

For the second week in a row, home underdogs came out on top, going 13-7-1 ATS. They were 36-66-2 ATS through the first six weeks of the season, failing to have a winning Saturday in any.

Florida Atlantic was this week’s offensive juggernaut, scoring 33.5 points above its projected team total. The Owls topped North Texas 69-31 as 5-point chalk with a 66 game total.

San Diego State, meanwhile, proved the flattest to scoring expectations in its 27-3 home loss to Fresno State. The Aztecs went off 7.5-point favorites with a game total of 48 points. It was the fewest points scored for San Diego State since 2006.

 

Money Line Stunners

Arizona State +300 vs. Utah (30-10)

Charlotte +285 vs. UAB (25-24)

Pitt +285 vs. Duke (24-17)

Rutgers +270 vs. Purdue (14-12)

Louisville +230 vs. Florida State (31-28)

 

Public Lashings

Minnesota gathered roughly 74 percent of ATS tickets across multiple top-rated online sportsbooks in its 24-17 win over Big Ten foe Illinois. The margin was not enough to cover a two-touchdown spread in favor of the Gophers. The Illini’s Ricky Smalling reeled in a 14-yard touchdown pass from quarterback Jeff George Jr. with 0:23 remaining to spoil the bet. Minnesota has dropped all five of its conference clashes as double-digit chalk dating back to 2006.

No. 9 Oklahoma rallied from a 21-10 halftime deficit to upend Kansas State 42-35 at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium. Close to 72 percent of spread tickets backed the Sooners laying anywhere from 14.5-to-16 points depending on the book. It was just the second home cover in 20 years for the Wildcats in the matchup.

It was a wash for nearly 70 percent of backers laying the 10 points on No. 16 South Florida in its 34-28 win over the Tulane Green Wave at Yulman Stadium. The home team scored 14 unanswered points in the final quarter to cover. Tulane is 4-0 ATS in its last four AAC contests, beating the number by 16 points per game.

 

Notable Stats, Trends, & More

No. 13 Notre Dame's 49-14 win over No. 11 USC is its largest in the annual meeting in at least four decades. The 35-point win is also the Irish’s most against a ranked opponent since beating No. 9 Boston College by 47 points in 1992.

Speaking of Boston College, it put up 40 points for the second straight week in a 41-10 win at Virginia. It’s the first time in 15 years the Eagles have scored more than 40 points in consecutive games after stunning Louisville 45-42 last week.

TCU held Kansas to just 21 yards in its 43-0 win on Saturday, the fewest in Big 12 history. It was also the fewest by an FBS team in the last 20 years. The Jayhawks twice have been held to less than 50 yards in the last six seasons, totaling 46 overall in a 43-0 loss at Texas in 2011.

No. 2 Penn State averaged 6.4 yards per rush in its 42-13 rout over No. 19 Michigan. Heisman hopeful Saquon Barkley accrued 108 yards and 2 TDs on 15 carries. It is the second most yards per rush allowed by the Wolverines since head coach Jim Harbaugh took over in 2015. Ohio State rushed for 6.8 per carry in its 42-13 win at Michigan Stadium two season ago.

North Carolina hardly showed up in its 59-7 beat down at Virginia Tech. It was the worst defeat for the Tar Heels since losing 52-7 at Clemson in 2006. They are 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, failing to cover the spread by 7.8 points per game. Head coach Larry Fedora has lost three of his last four games by 23 points or more. Two words: hot seat.

For Free Picks Straight From The Experts, Be Sure To Check Out Our College Football Page
comment here