College Football Predictions & Picks: Top 3 Best Underdog Bets For Week 5

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, October 1, 2016 1:07 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 1, 2016 1:07 PM UTC

Our college football betting expert shares a trio of underdog picks from Saturday’s massive card. Read this insightful betting article detailing why he’s wagered on these 3 college football picks.



 Kansas State vs West Virginia 3:30 PM ET

Current (9/30) college football week 5 betting odds at 5Dimes shows Kansas State as a 3.5-point underdog. 5Dimes is widely regarded to be one of the best sportsbooks to do business with.

Kansas State is coming off 63-7 and 35-0 wins during their previous 2 contests. They’ll be facing a West Virginia team which has gone 13-9 over its last 22 games. The combination of the aforementioned data qualifies this game for a never lost college football betting angle.

Any college football away underdog of 3.0 or 3.5, coming off 2 straight wins in which they allowed 7 points or less in each game, versus an opponent that’s won 17 or less of its last 22 games, resulted in those away teams going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1991. The average margin of victory in those contests was 10.5 points per game.


Free College Football Pick: Kansas State +3.5
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Oregon vs Washington State 9:30 PM ET

Oregon is coming off a 41-38 loss to Colorado, and that defeat came as a sizable 17.0-point home favorite. Colorado was forced to use a backup quarterback as their starter and still managed to rack up 593 yards of total offense against a porous Oregon defense.

After losing their first 2 games, Washington State bounced back with a 56-6 win over Idaho in their previous contest and covered easily as a 28.0-point home favorite. The Cougars offense has amassed 515 yards-or-more total yards in each of their first 3 games. Washington State was off last week and should be more than prepared heading into their PAC 12 opening game.

Any college football home team playing in a conference game, coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they scored 38 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they allowed 18 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 37-1 (97.4%) straight up since 1986. Considering the current point spread on this contest, the straight up record of teams in this exact situation takes on added significance.


Free College Football Pick: Washington State +2.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage 

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 Wyoming vs Colorado State 10:15 PM ET

Wyoming is coming off a 27-24 upset loss to Eastern Michigan, and they did so as a 6.0-point road favorite. This is an experienced Cowboys team that’s fully capable of bouncing back from that disappointing defeat. At the time of this writing, college football odds at Bovada indicates that Wyoming is a 7.0-point underdog on Saturday.

Colorado State is coming off a 31-24 loss at Minnesota last Saturday. The Rams have now gone 12-10 over its last 22 games. That record may seem irrelevant. However, it was a key determining factor in regards to my college football week 5 predictions.

Any college football conference away underdog of 2.5 to 9.0 (Wyoming), playing in game 5 or beyond, and is coming off an away favorite straight up loss, versus an opponent coming off a loss by 5 points or more, and they (Colorado State) won 10 or more of their last 22 games, resulted in those away underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 2001. The underdogs also won 11 of those 14 games straight up.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.


Free College Football Pick: Wyoming +7.0
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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