College Football Predictions For Week 10 - Alabama vs LSU Tigers

Jonathan Allen

Willie Bee

Tuesday, November 1, 2016 8:48 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 1, 2016 8:48 PM GMT

Top-ranked Alabama goes on the road for a big conference showdown with the LSU Tigers, and it's the Crimson Tide who are favored on the NCAA football odds.

 

Season: 17-18-3 (-2.10)

The first College Football Playoff rankings come out later this evening, the whole event made for TV so the worldwide leader in sports can sell some advertising, and the worst-kept secret is the Alabama Crimson Tide will be at the very top of the chart.

Having been No. 1 in the traditional polls since the preseason, Alabama's first test as the official CFP No. 1 comes on the road Saturday in Baton Rouge where the Crimson Tide will run into the LSU Tigers. Kickoff at Death Valley is a little after 8 PM (ET) on CBS.

Bookmaker sent this one out with Alabama laying 7½, that spread dropping to an even touchdown at one point before coming back to the original number. The total has been on a steady decline since going out at 50, the scoreboard barrier now at 47.

 

Can Fournette Crack The 'Bama Front 7?

After failing to cover the first October game, Alabama (8-0 straight up, 6-2 against the spread) has been rolling along with three successive covers, the latest a 33-14 victory at home over Texas A&M, the final just enough to cash a -18 spread on the NCAA football odds. The Tide rank fourth nationally in both total defense and scoring defense, and eighth in the country averaging nearly 44 points per game.

Louisiana State (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) has also covered its last three after failing to cash the first four games of the season. The Tigers turned things over to Leonard Fournette a couple of weeks back in a 38-21 win vs. Ole Miss, the junior picking up 284 yards on the ground in just 16 carries, three of those totes crossing the goal line.

Both teams had last week off, and each team comes into the contest relatively injury free. There's a chance Alabama offensive lineman Alphonse Taylor could play after missing the last two games with a concussion suffered in the win over Arkansas. LSU safety Rickey Jefferson will miss the contest after suffering an ankle injury two weeks ago in practice.

 

Road Teams Have Covered 14 Of Last 21 Meetings

Since losing at home to LSU in the 2011 regular season, Alabama has reeled off five straight wins, the first of those coming in the 2011 BCS Championship. Those victories have given the Crimson Tide a commanding 50-25 lead in the rivalry, five more contests ending in ties. Last year's game in Tuscaloosa was close for the first half, the game knotted at 10 apiece late in the second quarter before 'Bama scored 17 unanswered points for a 30-16 decision.

Road teams have been the way to bet this one the last 20 years or so, those squads going 14-6-1 ATS. Five of the last six get-togethers stayed 'under' the totals, including that 2011 BCS matchup.

Everything looks fine on the weather front in Baton Rouge on Saturday; Expect a few clouds at kickoff with a thermometer reading around 70, and just a whisper of a ENE breeze.

I truly expect the Tide to stuff Fournette as they did a year ago and win this one, but I'm not as sure about them covering the spread as I am of a defensive battle for my free college football pick on the 'under.'

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top rated sportsbooks is offering the best deals!

Free College Football Pick: Under 47 Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker
 

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