College Football Predictions Against The Spread - Wisconsin vs Iowa - Week 8

Wisconsin Badgers Players

Willie Bee

Wednesday, October 19, 2016 3:25 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 19, 2016 3:25 PM UTC

The Iowa Hawkeyes have turned a slow start around, but can they beat the NCAA football odds with an upset at home this week against the Wisconsin Badgers?


Season: 14-16-2 (-2.90)

It all began so well for Wisconsin, a 4-0 start that included a decisive upset at Michigan State helping the Badgers to a top 10 ranking just three short weeks ago. Meanwhile, in Iowa City, things were not going well at that time for the Iowa Hawkeyes who stood 3-2 following upset losses at home to Northwestern and North Dakota State.

All of that has changed now in advance of the Badgers and Hawkeyes colliding at high noon (ET) Saturday, ESPN carrying the broadcast from Kinnick Stadium. Despite two consecutive losses, Bookmaker has Wisconsin a 3 point favorite on the road and 42 for the total, the lowest scoreboard barrier on the Week 8 card.

 Badgers Still No. 10 Despite Two Losses

Everything also started well for Wisconsin (4-2 straight up, 5-1 against the spread) this past week in Madison against No. 2 Ohio State. Underdogs of 10 points on the NCAA football odds, the Badgers turned that around with a 10-point advantage going at the half. The Buckeyes rallied in the final 30 minutes to force overtime, scoring first in extra play before stopping Wisconsin's OT try to come away with a 30-23 triumph.

The loss followed another tough setback for the Badgers two weeks ago at Michigan, and while they still retain a top 10 ranking in both polls, it's goodbye for their chances to make it to the Big Ten Championship unless they get a lot of help. Paul Chryst's crew might also be playing without a few key personnel this Saturday, one of them being receiver Robert Wheelwright who is questionable with a leg injury. Nose tackle Olive Sagapolu is also on that list with an arm injury.

Iowa (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) has climbed quickly from where it was after falling to Northwestern, and Kirk Ferentz's squad is now in control of its own destiny as far as reaching the conference title tilt. The Hawkeyes return home after a couple of road victories and covers at Minnesota and Purdue, and will be at Kinnick for all three of their remaining Big Ten toughies, this week vs. the Badgers and in November against Michigan and Nebraska.

The Hawkeyes also have some injury issues, especially along the offensive line where both tackles, Boone Myers and Cole Croston, are questionable with bad ankles. Added in that mix is tight end George Kittle, third on the team in catches and receiving yards, questionable with an arm injury.


Road Teams Have Won Last 5

It's difficult to find a more even Big Ten rivalry over the years than this one, Wisconsin owning a 44-43 edge over Iowa with two ties. The schools have also split the last six meetings, the road team winning the last five and the Badgers taking the last three in Iowa City. Three of the last five stayed 'under' the totals with another pushing a 50 point mark.

College football bettors are urged to check for updates on the Iowa City forecast for Saturday, but right now it looks to be a great day for football with sunny skies, afternoon temps reaching the mid-60s and a 10-12 mph NW breeze. Though Iowa doesn't make many mistakes on offense, the Hawkeyes also don't have a lot of offense to speak of. My free college football pick is going to be on the Badgers continuing the road team trend in this series.

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Free College Football Pick: Wisconsin -3 Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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