College Football Prediction & Free Pick For Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, October 14, 2016 8:30 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 14, 2016 8:30 PM UTC

Sports handicapper, Joe Gavazzi, tackles this week's Perception/Reality game, which is Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears. This particular betting column is now 34-24 ATS for the season, so you don't want to miss his NCAFF picks to cash in some money.



Kansas vs. Baylor (-35)

It was a rare sub .500 week for selections on this site last week. Nonetheless, the analyses you have read is now 34-24 ATS for the season, just shy of 60%. Make sure to read this week’s Article entitled, “Do Your Wallet A Favor And Bet CFB Using This Scientific Method,” to find out how you can isolate contrary winners on the CFB card for the balance of October. Best of all, enjoy our own Bounce Back Week with the analyses below.

The Perception/Reality selection has been an integral part of the Pointspread Prognosis for many years. It is a selection in which the public’s perception of one or both teams, drives the linemaker’s thinking when posting the line for this week’s contest. Such is in this case, as there is plenty of public love for a 5-0 SU Baylor Bear, while little respect for the 1-4 SU-Kansas Jayhawk. This is not basketball… that starts later this month!

Under former HC Art Briles, the Baylor Bears entered this season with a 3-year record of 32-7 SU. Briles, a legendary offensive coach, was leading a team who averaged nearly 50 PPG in those 3 seasons and over 600 YPG. The 5-0 SU start is a bit misleading, as the first 3 victims (NW State, SMU, and Rice) were badly outmanned. In league play, the going has not been anywhere as easy as previous seasons. Three weeks ago, the Bears opened the Big 12 season by escaping Oklahoma St. on this field (35-24). In their previous game, 2 weeks ago, they had to roar from behind to defeat lowly Iowa St. (1-5 SU) in OT 45-42. The sex scandal that negatively impacted the Baylor program in the off-season, leading to the dismissal of Briles and other top members of the Baylor administration, has rocked this program and stripped it of some of its depth. With current coach Jim Grobe (little more than a figurehead), the Bears have lost their swagger and figure to soon fall from the ranks of the unbeaten. Not that will happen today, but a November schedule that sees them facing TCU, Oklahoma, Kansas St., Texas Tech and WVU will define the future of the Baylor program.

This week, the challenge is a Kansas team, who is notably improved under 2nd year HC Beaty. The record says 1-4 SU, but the play on the field is greatly improved. After allowing 561 YPG and 46 PPG last season, the Jayhawks showed improvement last week, when they outgained TCU 470-366. Only a missed, game-winning FG at the final gun, allowed the Horn Frogs to escape with a (24-23) victory. That lends great confidence to a Kansas team, who when facing a Baylor team who will have little respect for them, should have no problem staying within this generous 5 TD in today’s contest. The perception still favors Baylor. The reality is that the gap is closing quickly between these programs. I invite you to put the College Football odds in your favor and join me in my College Football Pick on Kansas this afternoon.



Free College Football Pick: Kansas +35 (-105)Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


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