Kyler Murray Player Props: Will Heisman Winner Stem Alabama's Tide?

Friday, December 28, 2018 4:24 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 28, 2018 4:24 PM UTC

Oklahoma’s Heisman winner Kyler Murray will take on Alabama in what could be the final game of his prolific 2018 season. Let’s examine his player props below.

Rumors continue to swirl surrounding Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray and whether or not he will enter the NFL draft or take the money that the Oakland Athletics gave him when they signed him as the ninth overall pick in the MLB draft and run to spring training. The former backup to burgeoning NFL star Baker Mayfield repeats as the second consecutive Sooner to win the Heisman and seventh in school history.

Murray’s backup, Austin Kendall, could very well be a viable Heisman candidate when he assumes the reins of the Oklahoma offense next season. Furthermore, Kendall could make an appearance in the CFP semifinal if the unthinkable happens and Murray gets injured. Regardless, the college football odds board is anticipating a boatload of points as the 77 total is the highest ever in CFP history and in any Alabama game during the Nick Saban era.

Kyler Murray Pass Completions
  • Over 22 ½ (-110)
  • Under 22 ½ (-110)

The total on this game is a whopping 77 which is highly unusual because the Alabama defense is among the stingiest in all of college football. There is little doubt that the Tide offense will get its fair share of points against a porous Sooners’ defense, allowing an average of 32.4 points per game, but will the talented Murray be able to crack the code of an Alabama D that allows 14.8 PPG and 17 completions per game?

Despite the hoopla surrounding Murray, it should be noted that the Heisman trophy winner has only one game in which he completed more than 21 passes, and that was in his latest performance in which he connected on 25-of-34 in the Sooners’ 39-27 victory over Texas. Despite the lofty over/under of 77 in this one, it’s hard to fathom that Murray will have his highest, or at least second highest, pass completions against a defense of the caliber of Alabama’s. Let’s take the emotion out of this one and think logically by going under in our college football picks.

Free College Football Prop Pick: Under 22 ½ pass completions for Kyler Murray

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Kyler Murray Touchdown Passes
  • Over 2 ½ (+120)
  • Under 2 ½ (-140)

Murray has averaged 3.07 passing touchdowns per game with a herculean six-touchdown effort against Baylor skewing that stat just a bit. Alabama has surrendered 17 passing touchdowns all season which amounts to 1.3 per contest. The wildcard here is Murray getting a backdoor cover in garbage time as Saban rolls in his backups if the score is out of reach for an Oklahoma rally.

All of that considered, we must be cognizant of this enormous total and know that all those points won’t belong to the Crimson Tide. Even if the Sooners garner 24 points it would seem to me that 21 of those would be by way of passing touchdowns because the Sooners cannot waste time by grounding-and-pounding against a stalwart Bama run-stop unit that has allowed just seven rushing TD’s all season and a mere 117 rushing yards per game. Let’s go high in this prop.

Free College Football Prop Pick: Over 2 ½ (+120) passing touchdowns for Kyler Murray

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