The number of teams that can win the national championship has dwindled, but from an odds point of view there still seems to be plenty of value on the futures betting board at Bovada.
Even as the 2018 College Football Playoff shapes up and seems fairly clear, the truth is it’s still as cloudy as ever with all four of the current teams ranked to play in the CFP Final Four and the two Bowl games on New Year’s Day (Rose Bowl, Sugar Bowl) in a position where things can still go terribly wrong and not see them playing for all the FBS marbles at the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. For Head Coach Nick Saban and #1 Alabama (+120 to win CFP National championship, Bovada), losing handily to #6 Auburn this Saturday at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn (ALA -5, 48, Bovada, CBS, 3:30 pm ET) and then seeing some kind of snub might be the only thing stopping Alabama from staying in that Top 4. For #3 and defending national champion Clemson (5/1 to win CFP National championship, Bovada), the one Loss to Syracuse could be compounded by a Loss in the ACC Championship game to unbeaten #2 Miami (8/1 to win CFP National Championship, Bovada) could do Kelly Bryant and the Tigers in, while the Hurricanes could fall by the wayside with a Loss in the ACC title tilt and then possibly having a team or teams like Auburn, #5 Wisconsin or #7 Georgia supplant them.
And could one Power Five Conference possibly have two teams in the CFP Semifinals? The SEC (Alabama, Auburn, Georgia) and ACC (Miami, Clemson) look to be the best candidates to pull that off. After Tuesday’s undramatic unveiling, Alabama (11-0 SU) stayed at #1 in the CFP Playoff rankings, Miami (10-0) at #2, Clemson (10-1) at #3 with Heisman Trophy candidate Baker Mayfield and Oklahoma (10-1) again at the #4 spot heading into this huge, pretty much final Regular Season week for most teams which is laced with protein-filled regional rivalries. Here are all of the latest NCAA Division I FBS College Football Championship numbers from Bovada.
Alabama Crimson Tide +120
Clemson Tigers +500
Oklahoma Sooners +500
Auburn Tigers +800
Miami Florida +800
Georgia Bulldogs +1200
Wisconsin Badgers +1200
Ohio State Buckeyes +1400
TCU Horned Frogs +10000
USC Trojans +10000
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +15000
Central Florida Knights +50000
The losers of Clemson-Miami Florida (ACC Championship) and this weekend’s Alabama-Auburn Iron Bowl showdown may have the best shots of surviving a theoretical Loss and then possibly staying in the CFP Playoffs picture with the Tigers-Hurricanes loser. “The debate will be the loser of the Clemson-Miami game and Ohio State," ESPN analyst and former Ohio State QB Kirk Herbstreit said. "That's a nasty debate because if Miami loses, Miami would be 11-1 and their only loss would be to Clemson in the ACC championship game. If Clemson loses, their losses would be to Miami and that Syracuse game on the Friday night where they lost."
And JT Barrett and Ohio State seem to be in a position where they might be able to get into the mix with a Win over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game and then maybe Oklahoma losing and one of Miami or Clemson falling out of the conversation. And a blowout in the ACC Championship Game might be good for some of the other survivors looking up with the SEC and ACC looking like they will both have (at least) one school playing for the championship on January 8.NCAAF Championship Pick: Miami +800Best Line Offered: Bovada