College Football Picks: West Virginia vs. Baylor

Steven Suarez

Thursday, October 3, 2013 3:22 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 3, 2013 3:22 PM UTC

It's been a tremendous start for the Bears and their ridiculously efficient offense. Will they avenge their 2012 loss to West Virginia this weekend? Find out how we are looking at this game with our college football picks in mind.

Odds Overview

This is a much less talented Mountaineers team than we've seen in the past, which partly explains this incredibly high college football betting line we're seeing at the sportsbooks.

Another reason? Baylor pretty much scores every time they touch the ball. The Bears are favored by four touchdowns at most college football odds sites, but 27.5 can also be found if you really think the home team is the right play.


West Virginia Mountaineers 

The Mountaineers have alternated wins and losses over their first five games of the season. They've picked up victories over Oklahoma State, Georgia State, and William & Mary, all of which were at home.

Playing on the road has been a different story. West Virginia was shut out 37-0 at Maryland, but did put up a better fight a couple weeks earlier in a nine-point loss to Oklahoma. 

Last weekend's win over the Cowboys was their best performance of the season by far though. QB Clint Trickett completed 24-of-50 passes for 309 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions.

Charles Sims was the busiest Mountaineer, rushing 18 times for 60 yards and a score and catching five balls for a team-high 82 yards. 

The big story of the day though was West Virginia's defense. Whenever you hold a team like Oklahoma State to 21 points, you've done something very very right. The step up in offensive execution raises even higher now, however, with this trip to Baylor. 

Baylor Bears 

What a start it's been for the Bears. They've won all three of their games by at least 57 points, beating Wofford 69-3, Buffalo 70-13, and LA-Monroe 70-7.

QB Bryce Petty has been excellent, completing 74.6 percent of his passes while throwing eight touchdowns (without an interception) in those three games. His two top targets have been Antwan Goodley and Tevin Reese, who have 29 catches and 720 yards between them. 

Lache Seastrunk has been a man among men in the backfield, averaging a whopping 11.0 yards per carry and reaching the endzone six times already. Shock Linwood, Anthony Webb, and Devin Chafin have also been getting a decent amount of work at running back. 

Overall, this team's statistics are out of this world good. Baylor is #1 nationally in passing yards per game (444.3), #5 in rushing yards per game (307.0) and then are ranked #1 in points per game (69.7) an #2 in points allowed (7.7)

Granted, the competition has been far from stellar, but you still have to be extremely excited if you're a Bears fan right now. This team could really do special things this season. 

College Football Pick 

Last year's meeting between these teams was one of the more spectacular battles we've seen in quite some time. West Virginia survived to win 70-63 at home, with Geno Smith throwing eight touchdown passes.

The Moutaineers have lost a number of key offensive weapons since then and we find it hard to believe they'll be able to keep up with Baylor here.

Not only are the Bears dominating on both sides of the ball, they've also had an extra week to prepare for this game. What's more, they should be doubly motivated to get retribution after losing to West Virginia last year. Lay the heavy chalk and take Baylor with your college football picks. 

College Football Pick: Baylor Bears -27.5

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